Now here are those projections, from most to least optimistic:
CAIRO: .272/.318/.483, 3.5 WAR600
Davenport: .260/.325/.458, 3.3 WAR600
ZiPS: .265/.329/.418*, 3.2 WAR600
OLIVER: .266/.308/.447, 2.6 WAR600
*Slash-line is park adjusted.
If he reaches the lowest of these projections the first year, this will be an excellent signing. If his first year approaches 3.5 WAR, this is an absolute steal. Thoughts?
I like this a lot.
How the hell are they projecting this though? Is there a methodology or is it simply a guess. With no minor league or major league numbers to base it on, are they just using his Cuban #s as a AAA stat line and projecting from there?
Billy Frijoles - February 15, 2012
are they taking into accout his performance in the 2006 and 2009 WBC?
OaklandSi - February 15, 2012
Yeah, no clue how they got these numbers
A'sFanDFW - February 16, 2012
Since he did face some MLB pitching it would be helpful
also, while his numbers in very limited at bats during the Dominican Winter League aren’t good, we should remember that he hadn’t faced live in-game pitching in quite some time, and that his at bats steadily improved from game to game.
OaklandSi - February 16, 2012
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