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A's Trade Moscoso and Outman for Seth Smith


From @athletics:

Athletics Oakland Athletics
The #Athletics today acquired outfielder Seth Smith from the Colorado Rockies in exchange for pitchers Guillermo Moscoso and Josh Outman

I love this move.

Additions from Nico's "since deleted redundant" post:

One can view the trade from two angles: In a vacuum, is this a good deal for Oakland? In context of a team rebuilding for 2014-15, is this a good deal for Oakland?

Seth Smith's career stats can be found here. Coors Field disclaimers apply. Note that Smith has extreme L/R platoon splits as well as predictable Coors/Not Coors ones.

0 recs  |  819 comments

Comments

I love it as well
Hate this move

except for getting something for the smoke and mirrors of Moscoso. Now Parker or Peacock or maybe both make the rotation which is not a direction I wanted to see at all.

Well, IMO...

Smoke and mirrors is the right description for Moscoso, and Outman (who is not my favorite player) is just coming off a huge injury, and Seth Smith can hit? Never really got a good chance in Colorado. So for me, HUGE win.

It also adds a roadblock of Allen in the OF as you won't platoon both of them

and doubtful you would platoon Reddick at all. So logjam persists at 1B and COF

Barton sucks, Allen will be at 1B
Great analysis
don't be a dick
Not being one at all

It’s not like Allen’s earned the 1B spot based on anything he did last year, and if Barton is healthy chances are good he can return to something of his 2010 form.

2010 Barton

Probably the first comment I’ve read that makes me smile

Fun fact about 2010 Barton

Barton’s 2010 WAR: 5.0
Albert Pujols’ 2011 WAR: 5.1

Though I get the impression he’s something of a Byrnesian knucklehead (injured jumping into a pool’s shallow end headfirst in the ‘10? all star break; Beane or Forst comment last year re:him and ’can’t force players off their iPads and into the training staff’), the fact he was as valuable as Pujols was last year should mean 1B is his to lose for now

See? THAT is a measured response, disagreeing with a comment. With back-up.
This (LunaCL's comment)

Is the best evidence that numbers lie. And no I don’t need to provide back up

I've known that numbers lied

ever since a “3” tried to pass himself off as an “8” by standing in front of a lamp-post so it would obscure his not completed left side.

Those numbers are a sore spot with me NICO

Years ago when I was in New Zealand I played the Lotto. You could buy combo tickets and so I picked 8 numbers so any combinations of four or more paid off multiple prizes.

I was sitting in the bar (drunk) when the numbers came out

Got the 1st number
Got the 2nd number
Got the 3rd number
Got the 4th number
Got the 5th number

Needed #8 to win 2.5 million and out comes #3. When drunk I thought it was 8 for a second. I did win 18 prizes. At the time 5 straight paid around 700 so I won that 3 times and had 15 winning combos of 4. $2468.00

I could have used the 2.5 million. It was all tax free.

Best. Story. Ever.

Mostly because it is SO Trainman!

I've got to believe a team with 8 Albert Pujols would have a slight advantage on the Barton dream team.
And you just couldn't have said that?

Why can’t I say that I love the trade, simply because I can’t stand Josh Outman, and Seth Smith is my new boyfriend without getting a sarcastic response. Tell me why I’m wrong in baseball terms, but there’s no call for that kind of a response.

You can't stand Outman?

I don’t love you anymore.

Can't stand ;-)

Has nothing to do with baseball, though, so it’s a completely worthless analysis ;-)

Wha...but stirrups!
He just gets guys out, man
how does your hubby feel about the new boyfriend?
"Thinks he's cute" is what I'm hearing.
i wanna hear him say that.
He loves Seth Smith!
And you don't mind the competition?
a fair point
I was thrilled with the Gio deal cause he was one of my least favorite players
Bull crap, Barton sucks
Okay.
He doesn't hit enough HRs and 1B is a power position.

I don’t need your pie charts and histograms to show me he is good. I can get those in USA Today every morning.

Let's look at hos 2009 WAR and 2011 WAR
WAR for hos would be interesting
That's a big "if"

but I just think he’s doing the normail A’s regression like Bobby Crosby, Travis Buck etc…

I think chances are good he can’t return to his 2010 form.

A torn muscle is regression?
cause Allen was so awesome there

I’ll take half of 2010 Barton over anything Allen produces.

A quarter, even.

Allen was awful, aside from a hot week or two.

An eighth!
5.1 vs 0.1 WAR...

51x!

yeah Allen has shown flashes...but obviously he needs to show something more to win the 1B job.
Allen sucks, Baron will be at 1B
Whoever the hell "Baron" is... Oops.

Will we ever be able to edit comments?!?!?

The thing I hate about the AN application....

You can’t edit your own comments - and you can’t remove comments that you realize you shouldn’t have made in the first place.

Allen needs to earn a spot on the roster period.

The way he was with us was mostly horrible.

Pitchers had a field day pitching to him for the most part.

SSS but Allen's K-rate following the trade was 34.8%

Which, so far, is exactly what his career rate has been.

It should have a 30-sec grace period

[Undo-post]

It's called "preview" ;-)

Would be nice, though, huh?

If you make it a habit to preview every comment,

that helps a lot.

Doesn’t catch everything though….

didn't the Warriors just sign him?
my thoughts as well.
Clears a 40-man roster spot

For newly signed Bartolo Colon. I think it means Milone and Peacock are likely to make the rotation, with Parker down at AAA to start the year.

Ross and Godfrey can keep Peacock in AAA where he belongs in April
Good point

That makes me a bit happier.

I agree.

We have plenty of meat to throw out there in a loser year.

It makes it harder to justify that if you run out the bag of sh... that was post injury Ross instead of solid #4 starter Moscoso
+++!

That’s my only concern about the trade is keeping the youngsters off the clock to start the season.

Otherwise, it doesn’t bother me. Smith could be a nice addition to Reddick and one of Taylor, Cowgill, Carter etc….Plus we just picked up Ms. Piggy so it’s not that big of a blow, I suppose.

Whoops - we posted at the same time! I'll tuck my comments into this post and delete mine...
Does Smith start over Taylor?

I sure as hell hope not

Considering he's seasoned I'd say yes
That's because he plays a lot of pepper
the bench coach in major league?
Iron Man's assistant.
I bet he does
I'd bet $2.415M on it...
AAA for Taylor most likely

Smith-Crisp-Reddick would be the likely starting OF, with Cowgill spelling either Smith or Reddick vs lefties (most likely Smith, who has strong platoon splits).

Unless they keep a 5th OF, Taylor is the odd man out.

Give Taylor a shot now

There is no point in keeping him in Sac another year. He needs to have the ability to prove whether or not he can cut it…ugh

Flip Taylor for a reliever or something.
I don't think he can even get a us a reliever

he’s now between our 10-20th best prospect. I’d say just throw him out there for a couple month. Sink or swim.

Of course, he's the best hitting OF we have.

Unless Taylor grabs the bull by the horns he will not get a starting job.

I don't like this move.....

I want to see what Taylor, Allen, Carter, etc can do.

Hopefully this means we see a secondary move involving signing oswald or another FA pitcher who could be flipped at the trading deadline.

I agree with this

I was kind of looking forward to it.

Do we flip him to the Giants for T-rights?

Their offseason seemed to be all for collecting so-so outfielders.

we have sooooo many fringey outfielders.
maybe we could trade for that Jai Miller guy
Not so much related to the A's side of things,

but if there were one place I wouldn’t want Moscoso to pitch for me it would be Coors FIeld.

smoke and mirrors will not perform well there
HR/FB regression is going to punch him in the jaw.
Extreme fly ball pitcher at Coors?

Terrible idea.

Outman's a flyball guy too.

Heh.

this somehow makes less sense for Colorado than it does for Oakland.
aren't this just kind of dumping Smith because they don't have a spot for him?

maybe they were going for the “best of the bunch available” instead of looking for groundball guy?

if you're running a team in Denver

you can do better than a couple of flyball pitchers with low K-rates from a pitchers’ park.

true

it is kind of a head scratcher for both teams. My CO didn’t do their homework?

I kind of want to start a betting pool on HRs allowed by him next season.
Yeah, Moose Costcos "smoke and mirrors" is just gonna turn into "smoked"...
"Moscas, moscas...."

“Adios mio…!”

Interesting that we're okay with throwing our young pitchers out there and start their service clocks,

but not our less-sure, older outfielders.

Thing is

Service clocks won’t matter as much if the A’s get the new stadium. They’ll actually be able to afford to keep some of the major talent. If they don’t get the new stadium, we’ll best of luck doing this again in three years.

I’m not sure I love getting an outfielder from Colorado. Last time we did that, didn’t go so well.

I hear this one smiles!
I remember him smiling once...

I think it was after Swingles made a nice catch.

I'm more concerned that he can't his LH pitchers

and hit only 15 HRs despite playing half his games in a launching pad.

I couldn’t care less if he smiles.

Totally Befuddled

I can’t figure out what Beane is up to. This isn’t Moneyball and it doesn’t feel like rebuilding. What is Billy up to (must be something….I hope).

This is pretty simple, I think

Players need to earn their way into the major leagues. Nothing Taylor or Allen or Carter has done has indicated they deserve to start the season at the major league level. This is probably true for Cardenas and Mitchell as well. Any of these guys can work their way into the majors and get there when there’s an injury. Cowgill isn’t even a sure bet to start the season in the majors, though a good spring will probably put him there.

Meanwhile, Outman’s a reclamation job so it’a all a question of giving up Moscoso, who, as people here have noted, could be a smoke-and-mirrors pitcher. I

I’m not a fan of the move, but there are quite a few FA pitchers out there right now who could easily fit into the scotch tape and rubber band rotation that will be the A’s lot for 2012. Does anyone really think Moscoso would be better than someone like Millwood?

The other thing

is that by bringing in guys like Colon and Smith, you do give yourself some trading power for some more prospects at midseason for desperate playoff contenders too. Especially if some of the young talent proves to be ready now.

But what value will they bring back?

Organizational filler or mediocre bullpen arm at best.

That doesn't matter

They’re mainly place-holders, and if some of the minor leaguers get their act together, then they can be moved so that they’re not clogging the roster. This is more of a running in place move, which it could only be when you’re dealing with players like Smith and Moscoso.

In other words...

guys who are a lot like Moscoso and Outman.

Both are fully capable to serve as rotation backend.

If the return can match that? I am not sure.

But why adding payroll if we rebuild?

Colon, Smith and the next FA starter.
And now I can see another .500 season and another mid-10s pick. Perfect. Just when you think Beane is on the right track for a rebuild he tells you the opposite.

salary floor
Payroll addition is most likely to keep the MLBPA at bay

I still would have rather them dump 10 mil into Oswalt then the events of the past two days

I see that as a reason, but that would be really bullshit.

Marlins had years of payrolls below what we would have had after Crisp signing.
Sucks when MLB jumps on us after letting other teams earn money and get top picks for many years.

the Marlins were penalized by MLB for those payrolls
Thus the Johnson extension when I happened
It's part of a new CBA

On the one hand, the A’s have to deal with a salary floor. On the other, they get to deal with new limits on draftee bonuses.

its not like Beane is going to give just up,

even though we are in a rebuild mode. I would say that he doesn’t like loosing, even after shipping off our top rotation pitchers for prospects. This is not to say that Seth Smith is the answer to our prayers…

What?

Are we flipping Seth Smith for something?

Smith-Coco-Reddick in the OF, Cowgill and Taylor are extras, as is Allen.

McCarthy
Colon
Milone
Braden (?)
Ross (?)
is the rotation?

peacock, parker.
I think it shows that Beane is prepared to start at least one of Peacock, Parker or even Gray
Good God no.

Not till after the ASB, please.

This is where most of my rage emanates
Likewise

This doesn’t seem to mesh with the whole “maximize team talent for 2015” plan.

Forst

If you watch the video of David Forst talking about the trades, he pretty much puts Parker in the rotation out of Spring Training.

So much for competition
I'm gonna miss those stirrups...
So we got a 29 year old OF

with no chance of upside, who’s numbers are inflated in Colorado creating a log jam where our young guys who actually have upside get blocked.

We get rid of two young pitchers who give us rotation depth and one has some post surgery upside, and we start the service time of our upside young pitchers.

Overall I’d say I’m curious.

We have 6 outfielders, only one of which is proven.

And 3 starting pitchers. That is the opposite of what it should be like. There will be more moves before spring training starts.

You're right there will be more moves

Damn it, now I have check this site every couple hours to see what comes next!

This is how I feel,

except surely Seth Smith has some upside. Nice numbers vs. RHP in Colorado.

Oh, except I think Moscoso and Outman have very little upside.

So from a value standpoint, actually pretty good.

Moscoso no

But Outman is still a lefty who can hit 95 with movement. (This could have changed post surgery) I’d say he actually has something us upside left. No much but some.

this is how i feel

he was more 92-93 post surgery but he has decent secondary stuff and can be a 3/4 starter if his command rebounds.

I still liked Outman

Moscoso, I would bet that he falls off the face of the earth. But you never know what happens after a surgery like Outman had. He also has a hugely funky motion so who knows if he could remain healthy.

didn't outman's dad teach him and his brother some extreme over the top delivery?

iirc, it was effective (the outmans were effective using it) and the motion greatly reduced the stress on the shoulder joint, but ballfolk just wouldn’t respect it because it looked weird.

I once heard someone knowledgeable suggest

that the problem is it’s too hard to hide your pitches because the hand holding the ball isn’t behind the glove nor behind your back.

Too bad. I would have loved to see him try out the crazy delivery in the big leagues.

that would make sense

here we go

if that doesn’t work, it’s www.outmanmethodology.com and go to link H on the left side for videos. the pitcher’s grip is pretty much presented on a silver platter for the batter to see.

whatever the delivery,

i liked outman. he seemed pretty locked in a couple years ago before he got hurt. i’m curious to see how he looks this year after a full rehab from surgery. and having a successful pitcher with a name like that would be terrific.

Yes, it looked a bit like Mike Marshall's motion

emphasizing forward motion toward the plate over torquing the body, and putting the throwing arm in a ready position early on to reduce stress on the shoulder and elbow.

I agree with this

Strictly in terms of value, this is a huge win. Moscoso is not actually good at all. Outman is an extreme longshot to be any good. In return, they get a 2-3 win outfielder who has always shown a lot of promise to be more than that. He definitely has some upside left despite his age.

In context, though, I don’t really understand the move. All of a sudden that outfield is crowded.

Especially when you consider that not too long ago,

Sweeney was a lock for the starting job in RF….and CF…..and LF.

Yeah, if you look at him as a "strict platoon player,"

a la “John Lowenstein,” he becomes a pretty darn good hitter.

sounds like another FA starter is coming to Oakland

and I’m pretty sure it isn’t Oswalt. There is no way they would trade Gio and Cahil, then turn around and throw these young arms into the rotation this quickly. its insane

You left out

that Colorado had no leverage since they do their best to not play Seth Smith

To continue our text conversation...He had 533 plate appearances last year so they did use him.

But yeah since they got Cuddyer now they basically shoved Smith into a 4th OF spot. I wonder if we couldn’t have gotten him for Moscoso straight up, or Moscoso + bullpen help.

Overall I don’t think the trade was great but I am thankful to have one player (besides Weeks) who can actually hit on this team.

well... at least he could hit

not that he plays for the a’s his BA will drop 30-40 pts

Not that I think Moscoso or Outman had long futures here, but on the surface I don't like this move

Especially if one of the ideas of signing Colon was to help save on service time for one or two of the people they just picked up.

Maybe there will be more to the equation by the time the season starts, but did we really need another OF right now who’s mostly a platoon player?

Exactly how I feel.

Not bad maybe even good from a value standpoint, but totally the wrong direction for a rebuild towards 2014/2015. We now need pitchers or we have to pull a Anderson/Cahill move with Peacock/Parker/Gray and have now what 20 outfielders for Sacramento?
What direction will that go?

I sense the real purpose of signing Colon...

…was to spend money and keep the union off our back.

I fully expect Vlad or Matsui to be signed in the next month

to further muddy the waters

Nonononononononono.
Hatteburg too!
Wooo let's keep blocking the young bats

And start the clocks of the young pitchers. Brilliant.

We're all going to die
.

Maybe not that strong

I mean we are just talking about Outman and Moscoso

The problem isn't so much losing Outman and Moscoso

It’s more a problem of preventing the prospects from getting playing time in the OF. Having just one of either Crisp or Smith makes sense as it allows for Reddick/Cowgill/Allen/Carter to fill the other OF spots while providing some stability in the OF. However, with both Smith and Crisp in the OF that leaves less room for the prospects to get a chance to shine. I would think that if you are rebuilding, you give the kids a chance to play.

Not many of the outfield prospects have done enough to warrant a job out of spring training.

My quarrel with this move is it may have been a better idea to sign a Damon or Matsui rather than give up pitchers for Smith.

i'd rather let the young outfielders play now (even if they don't deserve it) than use up service time like we did with anderson/cahill
This is a really good point

And one I’ve been missing and maybe a few others too. Maybe those guys need to be made to earn it. ie hit with a .950 OPS out of spring training or AAA. (High yes but Allen, Carter, and Taylor aren’t pups)

none of the prospects are being blocked,

you have to play your way on to a big league club. It’s a long season and everyone will get an opportunity to play. (we seem to suffer more injuries than most clubs) How much you play depends on how well you play, as always. And if Smith is blocking your way from being a big leaguer, maybe you are not a big leaguer. Competition for jobs is a good thing, may the 3 best outfielders win.

"How much you play depends on how well you play, as always"

Not always. Often it is “How much you are paid defines how much you will play”

yeah but $2.4M hopefully is not rich enough to define how much playing time Smith will get.
I also don't see the A's saying, hey you are our bench guy now.

Do you really see that?

Probably not, because I don't see Taylor or Cowgill being as good as Smith, let alone better.

However, I didn’t really see them doing that to Ellis either, and it happened. They traded him after demotion, and never looked back with Weeks at 2B. They also did it to Kouz, even though he was getting paid a lot (even worse for him, being sent to AAA), and Sizemore took full advantage of the opportunity.

Typically injuries and/or extended suckitude by starting players tend to pave the way for a young player to start.

I mean, with Carter, they gave him a serious chance to play, he went 0-32 to start. The point is that the people they had in place were injured and/or sucked, opening the window for him. Same with Allen, Barton was injured/sucked (take your pick on that one). But Allen didn’t perform very well so we still have 1B as a big question.

Weeks came in because of an “injury” to Ellis but that injury wasn’t even serious, really he forced the issue and played well enough to keep his spot. I could definitely see that happening again. If Smith was hitting .240 and Taylor was OPSing .800 in limited time, Taylor will eat into his playing time.

Thats fair, but also there are other reasons to trade Ellis

He was relatively high paid and it was a salary dump opportunity. Unlikely to continue starting and was within months of no longer being a part of the team. Weeks, is a former first round pick who moved the clock up. Smith doesnt fit in any sort of reasonable timeline.

Let's worry about playing time when these guys start to perform

A competition for playing time is better than just handing a job to a rookie without any reason other than giving him some time. Allen has failed once; Carter has failed twice; Taylor didn’t look MLB ready in 2011. I can understand the fear that a second-rate player will take time away from a rookie, but realistically, you want the rookie to work for it.

There are injuries throughout the year, and all of these guys will get their chance if they prove they can play in Sacramento.

I disagree

But… you can read my other posts on here which basically argue this very same point.

Wow, xbhaskarx flashback
Naah,

If it were xbox, there would be no subject line to click on.

couldn't they just have

signed Damon and um…. idunno kept their pitching depth

or Matsui.

Smith is under control through 2015 though.

Any chance that Beane is getting Smith only to flip him to another team soon?

In a vacuum, this is a good move. A’s got good value for 2 meh pitchers. But this move doesn’t really fit into the rebuilding plan and other teams seemed to be interested in Smith.

that's what I'm thinking.

We have 6 outfielders.

So very few fly balls are going to fall in!
Now if they were allowed 6 strikes

We might actually hit this year too.

Ahhh, I remember the days when we only had one...
Not sure about that

Smith’s number will be damaged in Oakland. Maybe they’re betting on selling moscoso at his peak and they just don’t trust Outman’s elbow.

That's why "flipping him soon" would be before spring training.

Perhaps Beane thinks he can get a better deal for Smith than the Rockies would have because the two teams have different needs.

I kind of doubt it, though,

because Smith was DFA. He had little value. If anything, it would mean we were flipping another OFer who has more “value”.

Disagree

Smith is a line drive / gap hitter; he should do quite well hitting in the cavernous coliseum.

No one does better in Oakland than in Colorado

Even Line drive hitter. Cold wet air and large amounts of foul territory even screw them.

This move is a surprise to me!

I actually liked what we got from Moscoso, and I am a little surprised we seem to be ditching even more pitchers for B grade outfielders. Huh. Maybe the belief is that the Coliseum is so good that anybody can look good here. No clue. But this is a total opposite of what we’ve come to expect from cultivating a thick book full of starting pitchers.

I like this...
“…thick…starting pitchers.”

Since we just signed Colon. Maybe he can eat enough innings for three pitchers?

Ha ha

“Innings Eater” very clever

Or he might eat three pitchers

So there’s risk involved.

He might have just needed two lockers
( one for his 'fridge)
Let's hope

He doesn’t get in trouble with the law.

The guy's 39 and threatens to eat everything

Didn’t we just sign this guy to pitch for us?

Yeah...I hate this move.

Just don’t see a reason to block the young guys.

The A's had 5 OF'ers play over 100 games, not including Matsui. There will be plenty of AB's for all the Of'ers. Crisp

most definitely won’t make it through the year, and Smith can also possibly be traded at the deadline.

bah

is there going to be anybody left we recognize? (who is also healthy that is.)

Look how quickly we "recognized" Moscoso...
I'm seriously gonna miss that kid

Humble, came up, played hard, was fun to watch.

Not the best pitcher but the effort and enthusiasm was there, as well as the performance.

As many people have written here, that performance is likely unrepeatable given his xFIP. I guess Beane knows that too. But he still would have been our 3rd or 4th best pitcher.

adding the cutter mid way through season changed his results pretty dramatically didn't it? i think danmerqury did a post on it.
You should have seen my face when the new 2012 THT Annual cited that AN post.
well done sir
He has a chance of outperforming all of our pitchers except maybe McCarthy

he could also crash and burn. But he has that work ethic, obviously enough to learn a new pitch and throw it at the big league level, so I doubt he will fail that dramatically. We gave up a good piece that costs us the league minimum, for a decent OF that can’t hit lefties. Plus we throw in a borderline #5 starter. I don’t really get the value proposition.

first we sign a guy who is going to run out of gas before the all star break

and now we trade for someone who is an avg hitter at best @ coors field

Career 113 wRC+

He’s a well above average hitter even adjusting for Coors.

Wrong

Do you even look at stats? Smith hit .282 away from Coors last year.

Irony: Saying "Do you even look at stats?"

and then citing the stat most stat-oriented people find least useful.

BASEBALL!!!

Thanks, bbg!

Pfffft, baseball

I used to talk about baseball instead of meta before it was cool

-Hipster ANer

I don't get the excitement over Smith. He's a 29 y.o. 2 WAR OF.
and a half of an OF to boot since you really don't want him starting against LHP
His platoon issues I really see as a positive

Gives Cowgill or Taylor as 4th OF a chance for regular AB instead of rotting on the bench like Sweeney last year.

How, by just facing lefties?
Playing every third game is better for them then sitting for a week or two and only getting a 9th inning sub every now and then
Like Copenhagen said, I'd rather see him playing every day instead of the sit-sit-play-sit-sit-play pattern
But one has to be the 4th OF
And at this point I'd rather that not be Taylor
Taylor is busy making copies and learning how to fax.
If he's at all like me, that should only take 3 months
I just have the kiddies do it for me.
Which button do we push to make the copies of our butt again?
I think you'd have to ask Heather Locklear
Cowgill serves that better for giving Coco a break as well or when he breaks
But how often does Crisp need a say off?

And Smith is so bad against lefties that not platooning him would be dumb as hell. Best way to not get any trade proposals for him.

I'd say once a week and then of course when he needs more

cause he tweaked his hammy or something.

But then you need another 4th OF. Same problem
Cardenas makes the roster in my world

and fills that spot

Good way to see if he can hit MLB.

I really don’t like having a guy with upside as 4th OF without a real way to get even semi-regular playing time

I'd rather not have Taylor go through the Carter situation of playing once every 3 games

then sitting again. He needs constant ABs much like Carter.

I was wondering..

is the “.” part of the y.o., or part of his WAR?:)

If it was part of his WAR, I'd have to have a talk with Billy.
Bad trade

Not so much that the loss of Moscoso and Outman are huge (although I do like Outman very much) but the addition of Smith is redundant with the acquisitions of Cowgill and Reddick, two players that Beane is said to have specifically targeted when he traded Cahill and Bailey. Smith costs more than either of those two and will cut into their playing time. That means Beane essentially wasted whatever trade capital he used to acquire one of these 3 outfielders; capital that could have been directed to acquire younger prospects that would hopefully be ready to play when the A’s get a new stadium and are “ready” to field a contender.

I agree with grover. I'm not a fan of this trade.
Except that...

… the same smoke and mirrors that people see here in regard to Moscoso are evident to anyone else in baseball as well. Which means these aren’t really great trade chips. This was a salary dump by Colorado.

question though

why not just not offer him arbitration? Would they lose a draft pick? I wouldn’t think Smith was that type of player (B?)

now that I think about it

why bother not offering arby when you can get two pitchers for him?

What is Smith projected to get in arb?

He made 429k last year which is about half of the total of the pitchers going back. I see this more of they have Spillborgs and others that can fill his void.

rotoworld said the Rockies signed Smith for $2+ million before the trade didn't they?
I was going off Cot's I dunno.
It was $2.4 million.
oh that happened yesterday it seems, just hasn't been updated on Cot's

I still stand behind my point of them having pieces that fill in for them

they obviously didn't like him much

considering what they got for him

Yep.

$2.415MM. Then he has two more years of team control after 2012.

we still better have enough money for Soler
God, I hope so.
I wish I had more hope that Soler was going to happen...
mlbtraderumors has him around 2.4 million
Plus,

Rockies just signed Michael Cuddyer.

had forgot about that
had forgot about that
Not surprising, since you forgot you had already said that. ;-)
And how does Colorado's salary dump help Oakland?

Smith is a COF who can’t hit lefties. That has limited value to the 2012 team and almost no value (unless he gets traded) to the 2015 and later teams.

Maybe the A's see something they think they can fix?

If they do so and he plays well this year, he would definitely be worth more than Moscoso and Outman next offseason.

On the other hand, I don’t see why the A’s would think themselves capable of fixing any person who uses a baseball bat with any regularity.

Given the A's track record with position players...

Bad. Idea.

+1

what position player with some MLB experience has gotten better after coming to the A’s (in the Beane era). I’m sure there is somebody but it sure seems like the opposite. (maybe Durazo? Frank Thomas returned to form but that doesn’t count.)

How much MLB experience counts as "some"?

Sizemore and Rosales both got better after coming to the A’s.

Best answer to your question is John Mabry. Very good in his partial year with the A’s. Eight years of mediocrity before that. Or to put it another way:

- WAR in his five months with the A’s = 1.7
- Total WAR over his 14-year career = 2.1

I'm not sure, how about a player who had not played more than 2 complete MLB seasons?

I also was thinking someone who stuck with the A’s and was productive for at least a couple seasons.

Jack Cust (depsite some nay-sayers) would qualify.
John Jaha had one good season but that was more of a “comeback”.

Mabry is a good choice

except that it was only 1 good half season. Randy Velarde? He was decent right?

He was also decent before coming to Oakland

Matt Stairs? Scutaro?

Josh Willingham had a career HR year here last year?

Then again, his OBP was 30 points below the career average. Seriously, stadium effects aside, players do seem to under-perform in Oakland to an alarming degree.

Milton Bradley had some short-term success here. And I can’t believe I’m using this guy as an example, but Mark Kotsay was great his first year in Oakland. He dropped off a cliff though.

Yeah, mostly been bad with the FA hitters.

Olmedo Saenz
ummmmm... did you forget 2011for rosales?
agreed

unless another move is coming this trade doesn’t make sense

Glad to see I'm not the only one

who hate this trade.

Guys who combined to start 117 of our games last year

are no longer on the team.

Greetings A's fans. Rox fan here....

One of your tribe was kind enough to pop over to our board to share some capsure summaries of our new pitchers, so I thought I’d return the favor. Here’s my take on Seth Smith:

Not a heralded prospect. Caught everyone’s attention by his pinch hitting performance. Absolute nails as a PH late and close, thus the nickname "Mr. Late Night".

Against righties, he’s smooth as silk. Reminded me (and I’m old) of Lou Piniella. Line drives, used the whole field. This all got him a ticket intot e everyday lineup, where two major flaws were exposed:

* He just can’t hit lefties. We thought he’d improve with more exposure to them, but he regressed.
* He a major defensive liability. No natural instincts at all.

He’d be a terrific lefty DH in a platoon. Or, if he went back to his original strength, a fine PH. As an everyday player? No.

Good guy too, from all accounts, BTW.

yay more bad defense!
To be fair....

before last season, I’d rate his defense as “slightly below average”. This past season, though, he was utterly lost in the field to the point of being a major liability. So there’s always a chance he can return to “serviceable” status at some point.

the Rockies stadium is a bigger outfield than Oakland isn't it?

(question to anyone who knows)

It's pretty huge in left and center, but Smitty usually was in RF

It’s not really about covering ground. It’s more about taking absurd routes on balls, letting line drives get past him. That sort of thing.

Ooof.

That doesn’t sound too good.

On the other hand, he's a good guy.
I actually like him quite a bit.

Probably a lot of that is irrational “he was on my fantasy team”, but hey.

As a Rox fan, I'll always love him for the big hits he got in the pinch.

Seriously, the guy’s a freak as a late inning pinch hitter.

Also, in case it wasn't mentioned....

He’s set to make $2.415 mil this season.

Yeah we got that all cleared up now :p
If you build your fantasy teams around Seth Smith and Jake Fox, I wanna play in your league.
I wasn't very good.
My best year in fantasy baseball was my first.

I finished a close 2nd. I haven’t played in a number of years now, but I never matched that finish.

And FOR THE RECORD,

I never had Jake Fox. And Seth Smith was an injury fill-in who happened to OPS .900 while I had him. So there.

KOOOOOOOOOOOOOUUUUUUUUUUUZ!
Yeah, you can play in this hypothetical league too.
Can I have Sweeney tuu!
Only if I can get Keith Ginter and Jason Lane!
Well, if we're looking for silver linings,

I like him in that it will amuse me to refer to him as “Smeth Sith”.

Also, … um …. nope, that’s all I got.

Shades of E-Patsy?
good guy, aburd routes?

yay we finally replaced eric byrnes

He and Carter can be friends! :D
he's an average defender
Thank for the info. :-)
See, this is what bugs me:

Let’s say that ‘evers44’ analysis of Seth Smith is spot on, then why would Beane not be aware of this? (Smith’s poor defense and his inability of his lefties?) ..unless there’s another move on the horizon..

In our analysis of our own players, we here assume other GMs know the same: that Moscoso is a “smoke-and-mirrors” pitcher, but many do not. We give MLB GMs too much credit in evaluating talent.
When we got Outman from Philly, he had high upside and pitched well for us before his TJS. So to give up 2 decent starters for another 4th OF is befuddling. We could have/ should have gotten more in return, imo.

Defensive stats appear to be a little more optimistic about Smith

UZR seems to think he is about average as corner outfielder and in a small sample size he looks to be slightly better when used in left field due to his arm.

like others, this is a head scratcher for me

I could see it more if Smith were younger.

Obviously things could change further but it seems like the A’s want to throw their young pitchers to the wolves but not their hitters? Did they see enough of Taylor, Allen, Carter at the end of last season to think they won’t stick?

I've seen enough of Carter.

Taylor and, moreso, Allen I think have a little bit of potential.

124 PA over 2 years is enough?
Why?

He’s never gotten regular playing time, he absolutely destroyed the minors…don’t you think he deserves more of a chance than this?

I think he sucks.

I think he’s AAAA. I could be wrong, but I don’t see him ever being good.

There's just too much upside to plaster him with the AAAA label so quickly, in my eyes.
Based on?
Watching all of his at bats.

I’m making a projection.

Not many AB's, unless you go to Rivercats games.

He’s barely played MLB.

Yeah

it’s a projection. There’s always guess work involved in projections of any kind, and I’m making an executive decision to short sell Chris Carter.

Fair enough.

I’d like to see him actually play before making a decision.

the 1st 33 ab were tough to watch

but those HRs were nice. I will continue to dream until he is off the team.

I would like to see Carter get a shot to play everyday and see what he

can do.

We are not going anywhere so if he has a good ST then he needs to be told that he is going to play everyday (DH) and see how he does. There is a lot of pop there but it’s pretty hard to make it based on a few AB’s followed by 3 days off etc.

but Carter always took time to adjust to the next level didn't he?

maybe I watched Carter’s Homerun highlights too many times.

Just flip on Smith's bomb into the Upper tank in Coors last year.
ooo

good idea!

You will enjoy...

It is a BOMB.

dudes love the longball too!

:-)

Ohhhhh my.

http://mlb.mlb.com/video/play.jsp?content_id=18371881

I got a toothache from watching that.

I also loved the Taco Bell uptate (2 MORE RUNS UNTIL WE GET TACOS)

As long as we're playing that game...

Brandon Allen says hi.

God, I love the mic distortion on that thing.
Screw the tacos. That one was worthy of its own franchise.
As far as I'm concerned, that was all of 2011 for me.
eh it is a HR, they all are the same to me for the most part.
That one is more than a homer...thign was crushed.
Still counts the same
Yeah, but it's like the difference between...

A WR taking a 5 yard pass and juking 5 guys on his way to an 80 yd. touchdown and a FB punching it in from 1 yd. out.

both are 6pts
But one is way more fun to watch.
I guess, different strokes and all
And we're back to hand jobs.
"Wheel keeps turning... 'round, and 'round..."
"Oh the wheel in the sky keeps on turning..."
Thanks for the journey back in time.
Big wheel keep on toynin'

Proud Mary keep on boynin’.

wow

true, they both count the same but … wow

The first time I read this

I thought it said the WR punched someone at the 1-yard line on the way to the touchdown. Aside from the glaringly awful example of unsportsmanlike conduct, it sounded kind of awesome

That would be pretty funny.
Now I'm not going to be happy until I see DeSean Jackson deck someone at the goal line

And if any receiver was going to do it, it’d be him

I wanna see someone sign Terell Owens just to punch someone.

Then cut him after the game.

No, then cut the person he punches for being a victim!
Hopefully that person punches him back.
Can someone just punch Terrell Owens, instead?
Just don't punch him in the abs

Might hurt your hand

Sure. See above.
Sure, but one is way more fun and entertaining.
depends on your perspective
that was entertainment

something I look for in a baseball game :-)

nice

thanks Dan.

Expect another FA pitcher, or two, to be signed ...

… Harden, Oswalt, etc.

I’m sure Beane does not want to rush Peacock, Parker, or Gray.

This also says that Beane is just not that high on Taylor, Mitchel, or even Allen. He wants them to put up better numbers at AAA, or just force their way up.

Taylor has been a bit of a disappointment

Beane could still be high on Allen at 1B, but probably not in the OF

From what I hear, Beane thought Mitchell looked really good

But he probably wont be ready by spring training, so this does nothing to block him.

Taylor, he looks like a ballplayer, but that’s pretty much where it ends. 103 wRC+ at AAA last year. Cowgill outhit Taylor at AAA and it wasn’t even close.

If the trade signals anything to me,

it’s that the A’s just don’t believe in Taylor anymore. You have two OF spots to flank Crisp, whose re-signing means neither Cowgill nor Reddick is a CFer during Taylor’s window of opportunity to prove he’s for real. So you already had Cowgill, Reddick, and Taylor for 2 spots (plus a 4th OFer, so potentially still room for all 3) and now you add Smith…

or at least they're concerned that they need a plan b
I don't think its a case of not believing in Taylor

It’s that Taylor (and Cowgill and Mitchell and Allen) has done nothing to warrant gifting him a spot on the 25-man roster. 2 young players will earn a spot on the roster as OFs this spring. Taylor could be one of them.

Interesting thought that while we're focused on Parker and Peacock's service time,

adding Smith may have the benefit of saving on Reddick and Cowgill’s service time. Assuming it’s service time worth worrying about, which I’m not so sure. (I tend to care more about potential #2 starters than I do about tweener OFers.)

I see no scenario where Reddick does not make this roster
I would guess one of Reddick/Cowgill (Reddick)

and one of Parker/Peacock (Peacock) makes it.

are you assuming that milone makes it barring injury?
I think he will and should

I think Peacock will and shouldn’t.

ok, just making sure i was following your logic. thanks
I see both Reddick and Cowgill making it unless a Conor Jackson

type is signed then I can see Cowgill trying to reproduce hie ridiculous numbers in Sac.

why would you bring up that name

why?

seriously

not cool.

You mean ot cool

You have to leave out one ‘n’ whe ever speaking about Conor.

Mainly for Kyli and I'm not opposed to having him as the 25th man
If you're not opposed to that, my question then is

What are you opposed to?

Tebow, Cal Bears, oh and the A's winning more then 70 games this year
but seriously if he is the 25th that means

a young player isn’t languishing on the bench and it at least (hopefully) getting ABs in Sac. He can back up both corners infield and outfield. This is moot if Donaldson makes the roster, then I’d rather not having CoJax around for his sake as that would probably be the majority of his playing time.

I am a Seth Smith fan so I like this deal

I think he will hit outside of Coors and while I like Moscoso a bit, losing Outman is perfectly fine by me.

His swing is a good one for not being harmed by OAK, right?

Line drive, all fields? Shouldn’t get suppressed much by OAK “park effects”.

OK

now I’m craving a Spring training gameday thread … even if the team won’t be any good.

Yes more OF please
joestiglich
#Athletics still looking for RH-hitting OF in free agency for depth, Beane says. … Obvious Michael Taylor must play way into picture.

Hello Conor Jackson

ohgodwtf
Can Mr. Fox play the OF?
YES.
BRING HIM BACK!

If Kyli can get her man-candy, why not you too?

WOOOO!
Now remember this when you arbitrate my dispute with Jesa.
MAN CANDY FOR EVERYONE! :D
the world gone wrong.

what the hell is going on here? does anybody have answers?!

I have no idea what Beane is smoking
to play where!

from 1 guy playing every position to 5-6 (can’t keep count anymore!)

He can play at my place, any day of the week.
the unknow player Beane is targeting is cute? how do you know? ;-)

or were you talking about Sweeney?

I think she was talking about Taylor...
Unfortunately, only Bob Melvin cares about my happiness. :(
Bobby Crosby get your glove

We are putting you in the outfield.

Service time I hardly new thee
joestiglich Joe Stiglich
No comment from Beane on Colon, but nothing suggests he won’t sign. Regarding rotation, Beane likes chances of new, young arms to help now.
I don't get it. Help with what?

Are they rebuilding or not?

This, so many mixed messages the last 2 days.
And I get the concept of a two-stage (or so) rebuild over the next few years, but still.
But flipping Colon, Smith or Cody Ross at the deadline will not get you any notewothy talent
DO NOT WANT ROSS
Khhsssshhh---OOOhhhhhh

The rebuild is complete! Now I am the Master!!!!!!!!!!

I seem to remember reading about Billy

saying that he wants to be competitive every year, including this year, and that’s why he’s still here.

On the one hand, =(

On the other hand, service time matters 5 years from now, which is a long time. And I’ll still be watching this team on a nightly basis, and Jarrod Parker will be more fun to watch than Guillermo Moscoso or Graham Godfrey.

Ahh I had to log in to comment about this trade. Seth has been one of my fav players since I saw him play in A ball in like… 2005. I am excited! I hope he gets a chance and kicks some ass!

I hope they just slot him in and let him play

Last year was the first time Colorado let him hit lefties so he struggled some, but I think he just needs some time against them consistently.

wow, first no more swingles

now no more moose costco!!!

Its an alright trade. Trading from a position of strength for a position of weakness

Then again, we also traded 2 puffs of smoke for a mirror.

Yeah, ultimately we traded crap for crap.
P.S. CPL and a new Rosterbation Thread might be incoming tonight
Yippeee
I hate planning rosterbation

I prefer to rosterbate spontaneously when the mood strikes me

The Moose would have had so much more value if he had another good year this year

i am beginning to think billy only wants below average outfielders

moose>colon

anyone from AAA>seth smith

moose<colon

anyone from AAA<seth smith

Stop your war on hyperbole, dan.
Did they give up more for Smith, than dejesus last yr?
Yes.

I think so, anyway. I’d take Outman over Mazzaro.

Justin Marks was the bitter pill to swallow
Huh. I forgot about Marks.
whoops I didn't post my sarcasm code, probably cause I closed it

but that was tongue in cheek

It's ok, I didn't mean that I was upset about Marks.

I seriously forgot about him. That’s probably an indicator of how little he mattered.

Absolutely

But DDJ only had 1 year ’til FA while smith is 3 years away.

Smiles aren't as valued as some people would make you think.
Its pretty obvious this team doesnt have much confidence in taylor/carter/allen
It seems to have even less confidence in getting a full rebuild done.
I'd bet that all these players

will not be on the 2014 team

Well that was quick...

just gave up a stud reliever under control for many years for allen

stud reliever, I think not

Stud against righties only I can see, but he was far from a complete pitcher. Anything we get back value wise is huge. While I don’t think Allen or Noberto will amount to much it is about an equal trade

Huh wasn't aware of that split..

Well i still think he had some better value and IMO Allen better be a starter to make it a good trade

The only thing that seems obvious about this team

Is no one has any idea who the hell Beane might trade or trade for next. Probably not even him

The thought that popped into my mind:

If someone had come onto AN and suggested this trade, how many people would have replied that it was a realistic scenario?

I think if someone would have suggested the trade

Our main question would have been: why?

exactly

Beane’s making trades just to make them.

why?

I’m just reaching – but mosco and outman are fungible items, easily replaced. Their potential has been evaluated and realized. They now have a crop of outfielders, each with flaws but also untapped potential. If that potential can be harnessed in 1,2, or 3 of them, you have a stellar outfield in 2015 and the cornerstone of a dynasty!!!!!

OK – I said “IF”.

I'm split

Outman and Moscoso had high xFIPs last year, but from what I’ve read (I’m a Red Sox fan), Outman could have been very good.

Moscoso may have been traded at his peak value though, and I think the A’s might have done a very good job exploiting an inefficiency for low-ceiling back of the rotation starters, which can be kind of fungible in the same way closers are.

Outman has never been very good really

He had an okay season before his TJS, but nothing a guy like Graham Godfrey can’t do.

Outman/Moscoso vs Ross/Milone/Godfrey

While it does lessen sp depth, all these guys project as back rotation types. I wouldnt be shocked if A’s sign another short term veteran sp.

I'd be fine with Harden, and he is a free floating roster spot

as well when he gets hurt.

OK Billy this is absolutely ridiculous...

It’s time to fire Billy unfortunately. His desire to rebuild and contend at the same time is getting absolutely ridiculous. We can’t compete with angels or rangers this year no matter what we do (unless we get Fielder or some other impossible thing). Why not just let the young guys play and go for a good draft pick at the same time? However, at the same time, delay the time of the young arms and let them sharpen up in the minors before their trials. Billy made a good trade with gio, but the other deals are decent at best. His competitive nature is just not what this team needs. FIRE BILLY!!

I feel like I'm watching "Let's Make A Deal"

And Billy keeps trading the $500 bucks for what’s behind Door #3. And he keeps getting a donkey.

Haha good analogy...

(Five hundred dollar= Carlos Gonzalez) His moves are just putting this team in a position of perpetual mediocrity… Either rebuild or contend, anything in between is destined to fail

HAHA

This is perfect.

Were Moscoso and Outman ever going to be centerpieces going forward?

I think the A’s were lucky they got as much from Moscoso as they did in 2011, and he was traded at the best possible time, so that’s a non-factor.

For Outman, it depends on what you think he’d develop into. He could have figured prominently in the future as a stable back of the rotation guy, but so could the next half-dozen low ceiling back of the rotation guys the A’s are likely to pull out of their hats. And there might not always be a market inefficiency for fungible back of the rotation guys the A’s seem capable of producing.

So, I don’t know. Outman very well could have built up more value but he is not CarGo.

No, but Seth Smith is not the answer to anything.

He’s a scarp heap outfielder with no upside.

he's .282/.358/.456

So he’s this year’s Josh Willingham. I don’t mind that he has no upside. He still has what he has.

I also think there’s going to be plenty of opportunity for the other OF options to play just the same. You only ever end up having 1/2 of the talent you think you have.

.282/.358/.456 being his away numbers
I think he'd be a fine 4th OF for a team that's a contender, or close to it.

On this team, I don’t see him serving any useful purpose.

hitting?
I'd say that those 500 PA's would be better served evaluating players that could potentially be part of this team's future.

Smith is not a long-term answer, so what’s the point?

not leaving the lineup completely out to dry

This has been another edition of easy answers to easy questions

So is this a rebuild or not?

You don’t usually build teams around mediocre 29 year olds.

You haven't hung around a lot of CalTrans teams apparently
heehee

I can’t figure out how they get more vehicles to a site, than workers.

How do you know he is not a long-term answer?

He is and will be relatively affordable and would fit well with any team. If he is unaffordable that means he has developed into an excellent player and we can get a good return for him. He is under control for 3 seasons.

I know he's not a long term answer because he's 29 and he's a 2 WAR player.

He might be better than what they already have, but he’s still not good.

When our time to contend is up

Smith will be 32-33 years old, maybe not even a 2 WAR player and a FA. And we have shown a talent to pull 2 WAR and bench players out of a hat.
So what answer gives Smith for our 2015 San Jose A’s?

an .814 OPS away from Coors...that is good.

He immediately becomes our best-hitting OF. Sad but true.

so sign Damon or Vlad

and we have this year’s verison of Matsui, Dejesus, Willingham (Damon/Reddick/Smith).

A's were trying to compete in 2011

in 2012 I think it’s about having at least one player who can hit so the lineup’s not completely exposed. Even a team that’s not competing can want one hitter, especially at the price they got him.

he's slightly better than scrap heap

He’s a useful player at least. He’s better than say, Fukudome or some of the other names that have been tossed around. He’s likely better than Sweeney although his fielding stats are all over the map, hard to really gauge.

Maybe better than scrap heap

but definitely not scarp heap

Yeah, calling him a "scarp" heap OF was a little cruel on my part.

I apologize.

Such a jerk
I guess he's more of a Uriah Heep.
The band or the Dickens character?
The band.

I don’t know enough about him to compare him to the Dickens character.

Smarmy twitchy pale redhead always kissing up

to the boss, but really trying to undermine him and take over. Dickens is not subtle.

Possibly the least pleasant character in all of Dickens. No idea what possessed a band to name themselves after him. I’m not saying everyone has to invent a machine that revolutionizes agriculture, but at least be someone who isn’t icky.

I know a little about the character. I know nothing about Smith's personality.
but with the monte hall dilemma

the odds are always TAKE THE DEAL. maybe that is the approach billy is taking.

...
Why not just let the young guys play and go for a good draft pick at the same time?

Your argument is to suck on purpose. Tanking is not okay, ever. And the other part of that plan is to hand jobs over to unproven players who very well may hit .150 all year. It’s nice, in theory, to get the top pick and develop guys at the big league level, but it practice that’s not okay for one of the 30 entities in the world whose job it is to win major league baseball games. There’s really no mortgaging of the future in this move.

His competitive nature is just not what this team needs.

That is a very very wrong statement. Again, we’re not mortgaging the future here.

LOL

I just unwittingly wrote “hand jobs”

That's one way to increase attendance.
you can have my seats
Wait, it depends on who is giving said hand jobs.
You can probably find one under the BART ramp before games.
Thanks, but then why buy a ticket?
That's also one way to lure free agents to Oakland.

Beltre may have been a problem, though.

Maybe he thought Billy said "Head job"
For that kind of money, maybe Beltre was expected to give rather than receive.
Frankly, most of our new traffic these days

comes from people who were googling “get head” and got linked to the trade with Boston.

The ends justify the means.
Now the A's just need to acquire

Brad Hennessey, Jung Bong and Charlie Furbush, and they’ve got one hell of a Friday night.

recker and fister too
BARELY KNEW HER

BARELY KNEW HER, TOO!

And Soler.
Can't wait for the battery of

Colon – Recker

{STILL FUNNY}
[pours out a 40]
You should do that anyway.
(holds out cup to catch beer as it's poured)
Bots shouldn't drink.
You told me he was a-foot.
He's a bot-foot.

It’s a new unit of measure.

It will be the new sabre metrics in 2015
Be careful with me!

I can only catch so much beer.

So the cupping is not cupping to catch the beer that you're a master at...
don't fprget to trade for

pooholes… err pujols

that was only after you said

suck on purpose

Ok I guess you're right...

Tanking isn’t right but then again that’s how Tampa Bay got good and that’s how Nationals are gonna be good soon.

I believe this is mortgaging the future in a small way as we’re rushing up arms and giving up years of control. Also while this trade isn’t a huge mortgage see: Holliday trade.

I only like this trade if...

Smith is flipped for better parts before he starts to suck in Oakland Colliseum

The Rays whiffed on their draft picks

for a long time

Even recently.

Beckham over Posey/Hosmer in 2008. Jemile would have even been a better pick than Beckham.

My analysis:

I’m not so much pleased or mad about the trade, more confused. A couple mediocre starting pitchers well suited to pitching in Oakland and terribly suited to pitching in Colorado in exchange for a “good platoon DH” or “ok OFer,” who’s 29, to a team that’s rebuilding.

This
I’m not so much pleased or mad about the trade, more confused.

Exactly that

we traded pitchers than can protect our valuable and future big league starters for an outfielder that will block guys that need to play now. odd.
Whatever the case

it will be fun following this team this season.

which, frankly, is more than I expected going in to this offseason.
delayed reaction

I was pretty surprised at first by this trade, because I thought that the A’s were just starting to achieve the right amount of pitching depth with the Colon signing, and I thought the outfield depth has been fine since getting Reddick and resigning Coco.

But now what I think is that the A’s front office might believe that Moscoso represents this organization’s definition of a replacement level pitcher. Like Guillermo is the guy that Billy Beane confidently believes he can pull off the scrap heap again and again and again. If that’s the case, then trading guys like Moscoso and Outman makes sense, regardless of my feelings about balancing the roster.

very plausible

I could see Beane thinking that way. I can also see Brad Pitt making this trade while Jonah hill looks shocked and Frantically clicks away at his keyboard.

exactly

I think Beane thinks he’s found an inefficiency- fungible back of the rotation guys with low ceilings. Kind of like having fungible closers.

Does this means we might sign Oswalt?

hmmm.

Paul Thomas pretty much called this trade in a thread a while back

After I saw his comment I had to look up who Seth Smith is.

I think it was obvious that we needed another OF. Reddick and Crisp weren’t going to fill 5 OF positions. Now we have Taylor, Cowgill, and Smith competing for a starting job. We also still have 2 OF bench spots. Smith likely will platoon.

But to echo colin’s comment above, where are they going to get pitchers? 2 pitchers that I was basically inserting into the starting rotation are gone, and they are going to need more pitchers. Realistically they need at minimum 8 SPs because Braden, Ross and McCarthy are very high injury risks.

there is still time to pick up some scrap heap pitchers

(but no spots on the 40-man, unfortunately)

I think there are lots of guys who can replicate Moscoso’s results while pitching in the Coliseum.

Wasn't there interest in Seth before last season?

I seem to remember quite a few people wanting to trade for him.

beane gets obsessed with guys and wants them even years after they're useful. see jackson, conor.
We also can't always just be GIVING Smiths to the Rockies.
haha, why not?
Because all they want are Gonzalez's.
Couldn't we trade them Edgar G. then
No way.

We need the pitching depth

Plus, he fits the "thick starting pitcher" role
The Braves have been discussing him this off-season many times.
Here on AN, he's been a favorite of PT's.
Don't really get the desire to add Smith

Doesn’t seem like he’s all that interesting as a player on field or off. And we gave up two of our potential starters for the season up for him. I mean I got the other moves, this one just makes me wonder WTF is going on in the FO.

How much are RiverCats seasons? Because even with gas costs they might be the better value this year.

Yup I also understand other trades

However this trade still might make sense if Smith is flipped to captialize on the market’s demand for him

Also I think it's time to sign cody ross as well....

Platoon partner for Smith haha.. though seriously that would be a stud platoon

Also when we flip at deadline...

we can offer them as a package haha

OMG my head would explode
Haha

I expected that comment would piss people off but hey if Billy doesn’t want to rebuild, why not just see how good of a team can made from some scrap heap material

JUNKYARD WARS!
Exactly...

though the other teams involved in the war wouldn’t exactly be playing with junk but instead with gold (see Pujols, Albert and Wilson, CJ)

Also, I apparently watch too much TV.
If Showtime's gonna cover the Giants, we're gonna get TLC, dammit.
Not sure I wouldn't boo Ross out of habit

Nor that I’d try to change that habit anyway. He ruined my life in 2010…

I totally get this trade, and there's nothing to see here

At first, like many I was confused about getting a 30 year old OF with wicked bad platoon splits and poor defense for two potential starters. How does this fit with rebuilding? Let the OF prospects have a shot, hold off on the service clocks for SP prospects, yeah yeah I get all that.

We all need to remember two things:

1. Seth Smith is not blocking anyone. If Taylor/Carter/Allen/Mitchell/Green/Choice/whoever can’t outplay Seth Smith then they don’t deserve playing time. Simple as that.

2. Moose Costco and Outman do NOT under any circumstances constitute “rotation depth” If Parker/Peacock/Gray/whoever are going to make the team out of ST, Moose and Outman ain’t gonna be the one’s standing in their way. They will outperform guys like that and earn roster spots, or the team will hold them back for service clock reasons. Moose and Outman have nothing to do with it.

This trade is not part of some grand plan to flip Smith or someone else for some secret holy grail. It is simple: we traded two pieces of crap for one piece of crap. Nothing to see here.

One problem with this,

Seth costs $2.4M. He will play.

$2.4 mln isn't expensive. even for us.
No, but they will probably play him, or trade him.

I don’t see them sending him Sac.

He can easily be on the bench a la Gabe Gross

$2.4M doesn’t guarantee a starting spot.

Kouz says hi
That's because he stunk, not that someone outplayed him.
just saying we have seen them send 3 million dollars down before

(pretty sure that was about his contract)

As I said below, I don't see them DFA'ing him.

Platooning/benching him, yes.

i think kouz got closer to 4mil
also

he could sit on the bench and hold a bag of sunflower seeds until the 9th when he pinch hits the game winning homer. That’d be my plan.

This is where I was going.

I inferred from your 1st comment, that if he were outplayed, he would be gone/DFA’d. I don’t see that happening. Backup? Yes.

maybe

It’s not like there’s a multi-year commitment or anything. If he’s hitting he’ll get a spot, if not I can see the A’s cutting bait.

My point is this is not a move that impacts the rebuild or the team’s overall strategy. All three guys are small potatoes.

I disagree strongly

Moscoso isn’t good. He isn’t the future. But we can and could parade him out every five days and not care if he got lit up and destroyed. He could still pitch there. We care if Peacock gets lit up and destroyed and becomes afraid of throwing strikes etc. We care about that for Parker too. Moscoso we didn’t. Outman we didn’t.

Yes guys can earn their spots but the A’s aren’t sitting $7M Coco or $2 1/2M Smith. PA’s quickly evaporate. This move is completely contrary to waht should be the strategy.

I think you're missing the point

Pitchers where we “don’t care if they get lit up or destroyed” are not exactly a rare commodity. Its not like we can’t throw slop out there every 5th day now that Moose and Outman are gone. They’re completely replaceable. I hear Sidney Ponson’s available. I’m sure he’d be funny.

And if the A’s DO decide to put Peacock/Parker/Other in the rotation to start the year the reason ain’t gonna be that we traded Moose and Outman. You may disagree with that choice, and I think you would be right, but the two pitchers we traded are not the deciding factor in that equation.

Ponson = Wiers lighting himself on fire, do it Billy.
I don't think I am.

Because on our 40-man roster "Pitchers where we ‘don’t care if they get lit up or destroyed’ " (starting ones at least) ARE a rare-commodity…

They are completely replaceable if you think you can float tons of guys through waivers who you can’t. Or get rid of players we possibly need….

Moscoso was assured a role on this team barring injury. So one of the other starters has just had a space freed up for them. Outman yes it is questionable. He could be longman in pen, 5th starter, etc. But thats another opening now, especially true if our brittle pitchers like McCarthy or Colon falter.

Ok, you do get the point

We just disagree. I think if we want someone to throw slop it won’t be that hard to make it happen roster move wise. You think it will.

One man’s slop (or Moscoso) is another man’s treasure (apparently).

Whoa!

Haha. I do think we understand each other. But I am not saying Moscoso is a treasure. He is just there and already there and doesn’t require bumping others off the 40-man to do so. But we do disagree and understand the parameters of one anothers disagreement so now we have nothing left to talk about :(

thanks for your responses

Cheers,

HR

Okay, suppose Coco & Smith weren't there...

And the outfield was Cowgill, Taylor and Mitchell, with Allen at 1st base and Carter at DH, and all were hitting under .200 two weeks into the season.

Then what?

Oops. sorry, Cowgill, Taylor and Reddick

…and all except Reddick were hitting under .200.

It's bizarre to me that so many people think

that just because we’re rebuilding there’s some sort of mandate that it’s acceptable to win 50 games. You should still be aiming to be better than .500 at least. No Major League team in 2012 should be prepared to give Michael Taylor and Allen and Mitchell 500 PAs. It’s still a damn MLB team.

Why?

What is the benefit of being an 82-80 team?

It doesn’t draw fans, just look at Toronto, which has been “ok” just above .500 for years. How do you see what you have if you clog the MLB roster with guys expecting to play 140 games a year. (Coco didn’t sign for $7M to be beaten out by Jermaine Mitchell and lets not kid ourselves he was).

The benefit is winning 82 games.

It’s embarrassing and unacceptable to be bad. Now I understand that it’s better to lose 100 in order to later win 100 than to win 80 in perpetuity, but if you can upgrade at no long term cost then you have an ethical obligation to those of us who pay time and money to this team to make it as good as possible.

and why would you want to give a spot to Jermaine Mitchell?

He’s 27 and has played exactly 59 games above AA.

Because he is 27 and has played exactly 59 games above AA

Rotting on the vine? Its sort of now or never. He is on the 40-man roster taking up space. Prove it or lose it.

And he destroyed AAA like Weeks.

Weeks had also not much more games above AA and turned out well enough.

Weeks is a lot younger than Mitchell

The number of 27-year-old position players who’ve barely played above AA and have gone on to productive major-league careers has got to be really, really low.

Nelson Cruz...............
Cruz made it to AAA when he was 24

At the same age, Mitchell was spending a full year at Stockton.

dan gladden hit 351

his rookie year as a 27year old

Looking at Gladden's b-r.com page

First, Gladden had made it to AAA when he was 24 and succeeded there. Like with Cruz, at the age when Gladden was going .308/.364/.467 with 41 SBs in AAA, Mitchell was still in A ball.

Second, that .351 was in half a season, at age 26, and was by far the best he ever played in the majors.

Isn't it equally unacceptable to be just OK forever?

There are no ethical obligations at all. it is a business that can be run however the owner pleases. If you don’t like how the team does things find another team. Just as we wouldn’t say a bank has an ethical responsibility to be open outside of 9-5. Might be more convenient but then go to the bank that is open 8-8 or whatever. I get where you come from on this. But, I think that’s sort of out there to expect that teams have an ethical responsibility of any sort to anyone.

But let’s look at it like grades… an 82 win team is what a C? You pass, but it isn’t stellar. If you came home with straight C’s is that great? No. (Now, I get that one can say well F’s which is what this team is won’t be good but I’m looking at it one way that is that 82 wins isn’t unembarassing or acceptable. It is perhaps not humilating, but it should be unacceptable for the reasons you outline in your ethics argument)

People pay money to watch this team.

People pay money to watch this team be good, not bad. The A’s are rooted in the Bay Area’s culture, and for many people it is a source of enjoyment to watch a game at the Coliseum. That’s what baseball is about, so yes I do think it would be unethical to intentionally make a professional sports team bad.

And yes it is unacceptable to be just OK forever. I don’t see how acquiring Seth Smith hurdles us into an eternity in purgatory, though. This move really only serves as an upgrade over what we had before, with the only real cost being PA’s for Michael Taylor or Collin Cowgill, when I don’t think those PA’s should be guaranteed to them at all.

It doesn't, but what it does do is push back the queue

Of players who need extended looks. Taylor, for one, needs a half-year of MLB seasoning, IMO. Carter absolutely needs to be told the DH job is his and to concentrate on hitting. Barton and Allen need spots somewhere.

I’m a fan of this trade on a surface level for consolidating talent into a guy who is a useful player. I just don’t know why we traded expendable pitchers for an OFer. It’s like Beane zigged when he should have zagged.

I think a lot of you on here are much more enamored with some of the A's

hitters than either I or the A’s organization is. Just because Michael Taylor is 26 and a former top prospect doesn’t mean he should be a major leaguer, same goes for Carter. I don’t think any of Taylor, Carter, or Allen are any good and it sure looks like the A’s brass agrees with me. The “eh whatever throw ‘em out there and see what we’ve got” isn’t a good strategy when you’re able to make a very informed judgement that “what we’ve got” stinks.

Unless you release these worthless players

they end up in Sac giving Bush a huge headache trying to figure out how to dole out playing time whist cutting into ABs down there that should be going to the Green’s, Choices (when he gets there) etc.

Carter has no business in AAA at all and deserves at least 300 PA (preferably more then 5 a week) in the bigs to write him off. Allen, well I’m not a fan at all, but he too prob should get another 150 or so. This should be Taylor’s make or break year, it does his development of hitting major league pitching zero good hanging out in Sac with another crowded OF fighting for time.

I don’t think any of Taylor, Carter, or Allen are any good and it sure looks like the A’s brass agrees with me.

I find it interesting that you think everyone is so easily written off: 35 PAs for Taylor. 124 for Carter. 367 for Allen… thats not even a full year between all of them

I think of all 3, Carter is the one that needs consistent ABs

After his horrid 0-32 start he really picked it up at the MLB level. I would actually put him in at DH for spring training and tell him it’s his job to lose. Allen had a chance to win the 1B job and didn’t, it’s probably best to have him and Barton competing for it.

I think Carter should be the every day DH for at least 2 months, probably 3,

with no chance of losing the gig. Then step back and take a look.

If he doesnt make ti by then he wont ever probably
And if he's going to make it,

it will probably be because he knows he has the job, and can relax and just hit.

the thumb injury really killed Carter last year.

I want to see him at 100%. I believe he can dominate. He has dominated at every level.

This is a key point
I pay money to watch the team.

Do you really think that me someone who devotes my time to my own blog, podcast and being a frontpage writer on this team don’t understand that baseball is a source of enjoyment? Do you think I don’t understand what baseball is about?

That aside… it is a business. People buy it. It isn’t a community held team, or non-profit organization. Its goal is making money, so it really isn’t that much different than cheering for Chevrolet or Ford on some level. But you and I both know it is more than that, but in some ways also it isnt.

Acquiring Smith takes playing time away from seeing what we actually have. What more does Taylor or Carter gain from another year at AAA? Nothing. What more does Cowgill gain from raking the PCL nothing? And what does Oakland gain from having Seth Smith? 1) I don’t think there’ll be a line of fans itchingt o finally see Smith. 2) I don’t think that he brings us a championship or even gets us to your 82 win promised land, 3) He does very effectively block a limited amount of PA’s to all the guys on this team. Shoot Coco Crisp did that all his own though you can argue that he does get some fans in. What is the point of having prospects play in Sacramento if we never fnd otu what they can actually do at the MLB level? Right now we do have that opportunity. It isn’t TRYING to lose. It is trying to effectively figure out what your assets are by actually testing them out.

You had me at

Shoot Coco Crisp

I think my position can be summed up thusly;

All of you disagreeing with me are doing so on the basis that we need to “see what we have” while I think we already know what we have. These guys have long track records in the minors and each of them have binders and binders of scouting reports in some office at the Coliseum. I don’t think they need to be “tested out” because I think they’ve already been tested over the past so many years.

So no, I don’t think it’s wrong for the A’s to move on from guys like Taylor and Carter, because I think they’ve already had their chances. The jury is in.

MLB pitching and AAA pitching is not the same

35 PAs for Taylor. 124 for Carter. 367 for Allen at the MLB level tells you nothing.

yes, MLB pitching is better.

By that rationale, you should just throw and 26 year old career minor leaguer into a lineup. It seems the A’s execs have made their decision on these guys, and that’s what they’re paid to do. They get paid to make decisions on guys before handing them a ton of ABs.

But one can question their decisionmaking

I mean certainly if we feel that they are a civic entity with strict ethical standards to meet for their community that community members can wonder if their decision making seems sound.

In this case it doesn’t.

But to your point, that you just throw a 26 year old career MiLB guy out there. That depends on your team. If you are a winning team do you do it? Absolutely not. This team is not winning any championships next year no matter what – so this is a great opportunity to do just that.

It has worked that way with Sizemore

He looked like a lost case like Carter/Taylor. But he has performed after giving him a chance to shine.
I think you can not always tell how a player performs with only practice scouting an AAA time. Some guys get the jump better than expected ad some guys worse. A season like we have ahead is a chance to look at a couple of those guys.

I also think it is not getting everyone a free pass to a starting spot. But with Crisp and Reddick the starter to lose, it leaves LF and 4th OF job for a competition between Taylor, Cowgill, Mitchell, Allen (if Barton and Carter win 1B/DH) and maybe even Green/Moss/Peterson as longshots. It would not be a position handed out before the first practice. But a way better chance to earn a job in spring.

What I can see happening in spring is that Crisp/Reddick/Smith have their starting jobs, Kaaihue gets a spot at DH or 4th bench guy cause he is out of options (we know performance doesn’t matter there, Fox and EPat say HI). That means Carter/Allen/Barton can only earn two spots no matter how good their spring performance is, Cowgill/Taylor/Mitchell can only earn 4th OF job no matter their performance. And Rosales as the 4th bench guy together with Sogard and Kaaihue as the DH, leaving Barton/Allen/Carter one spot to earn is also not that unrealistic given the opening day roster desicions of the last couple of years.

Here's the thing

Yes, it’s “now or never” for these 3 guys, based on their ages and time already spent at AAA. No it’s not clear yet what any of them could do over the course of a full major league season.

Smith will be the Morse of 2012

im calling it now!

Now you're speaking in code
It's not clear, but it's clear enough to make the call.

And that’s what’s been done, evidently.

How is it clear for Taylor

I mean really. Tell me what 35 plate appearances tells you.

It's clear because he's hit .270 in the PCL for two straight years

with a middling BB rate and mediocre power. What on earth is his upside? .260/.330/.450? Can you ever see him doing better than that? That’s completely replaceable for a corner outfielder. It’s not like he’s got Jason Heyward potential. 220 games over the past two years in a hitters’ league should tell you plenty. I don’t know why I should have faith that a 26 year old should put up better numbers against the stiffest competition on the planet than he did against AAA pitching in a hitters’ environment.

That may be true.

But why not stick him in MLB?

Is Smith getting you to the magical 82?

Is Smith a long term solution?

Is Smith someone the fans want to see?

You can’t answer any of those questions affirmatively. What is the harm in seeing if Taylor has anything?

He has nothing. I answer definitively.

.270 in the PCL for 220 games tells you a lot.

His swing was messed up the first year

and he was getting better last year. Maybe he is a year more cleared up. He still has tools and a slim chance to put it all together at an advanced age. Its about giving him a real chance to earn a spot in spring.

Should be reply to BWH
What you could do is go back to his age 22, 23 seasons

where he tore up every level and was a top prospect and then theorize as to what went wrong. If it’s “he stalled” then he’s toast and that’s a real possibility.

But for all we know, maybe his diabetes was a factor, in which case he has a chance to bounce back and be a “late bloomer” in the way a pitcher derailed by TJS might come back stronger 2 years later than planned. You just don’t know.

Jeez

If Taylor shows he can hit AAA pitching really well, he’ll get his chance. Coco Crisp needs time off; Smith is a platoon player; and Reddick is all you’ve got every day. Plus you’ve got a DH spot. I figure that the A’s will sign Conor Jackson, and then a couple of these guys will break camp with the A’s. As injuries occur, they’ll be brought up and tested.

I think all of them -- Cowgill, Taylor, Carter, Allen, Kila, Mitchell, and Cardenas - will get their chance in 2012.

Never fear the 35-man roster is here
They have also been injured in each of the last two year, right?

Let’s get rid of Anderson as well. He isn’t contributing.

It really is no different than completely writing off

Gio Gonzalez in 2009 (yes fine, he was younger and that does matter but the point is the same) He pitched 34 innings (7.68 ERA, 7.04 FIP) walked 6.6 per 9.

34 innings a career does not make. But its about as muhc as we have seen out of Carter and way more than Taylor.

It just doesn't make sense not to give them a long look in 2012
That is my point

When will you otherwise?

Have they each had enough AB to say that they are valuable or not?

I don’t feel like I have seen enough of either of them.

Curious, if Jai Miller was still around would you still

want him in AAA or in Oakland?

Oakland, because the area under the seats are more in need of sweeping there
No need to sweep.

Just let him swing a bat and the whooshing sound of his miss will blow the trash away

ALOL!

That’s “Actually laughing out loud”.

AAA

He’d K 250 times in a full season in the majors.

If this team as constituted wins 82 games in 2012

You’ll be jumping for joy.

Honestly I'd be really fucking pissed if they finsihed .500
Why?
Drafting 6 or higher (7 8 etc, that wording always gets me)

would be an abject failure in my mind. Too many years have been spent drafting around 10 and not going anywhere. They need to suck, and be good a sucking for a few years. Grab high picks and hope they nail them.

I'll say it again

Putting a team out there for the distinct purpose of losing is unethical.

So be it, but that is my definition of success this year.
Ethics schmethics

If Cope or any other fans wants to root for the team to lose, that’s his choice.

Me, I want to win. I’d rather be 82-80 than 81-81, and I’d rather be 74-88 than 69-93.

If they want to root for the team to lose...

…that’s their business. But the team itself has to try to win games.

That said, the only way this group wins 82 games is if a couple of the aforementioned rookies or near-rookies have break-out years.

richwol gets me
That isn't rooting for the team to lose.

That’s really I think an unfair sentiment that makes it sound as if people like me and Copenhagen want us to lose. That isn’t true. I want us to go 162-0 next year. But here’s the thing.

We aren’t going to win. There isn’t a point in shooting for an 80 win team. If we have a team constructed that can win 60 something games and put us into a position to win 90-100 in a few years I think that is best and I think Copenhagen feels the same way. But if this 60-win-construct team wins 90 we will be happy just the same.

No I will still be upset

Cause I’m fairly certain that won’t be a repeatable win total and some odd confluence events made it happen.

You're dodging the question.

Of course you’d rather win 90 games than win 60. But would you rather win 70 games than win 60? If the answer is no, then you’re hoping to lose those 10 games.

This came up on with one of the guys from Lookout Landing a few years ago, when beating us in the final series cost the Mariners a draft slot or two. I asked him point blank — I think it was on AN, but possibly on LL — if he was wishing for the M’s to lose that last game, and he didn’t try to dance around it. He said, “Yes, I wanted my team to lose that game.”

It isn't that simple though

For me at least, I don’t want the A’s to ever lose (heart) even when it’d better suit them to lose (head). So it isn’t me trying to dance around it. I am sharing my deep and complex emotions with you. haha

I don't want to lose.

However, losing now is probably best for the team in the long run

We do not want to field a team of MiLB FA

We want a team with players that have a chance to be average or better but might also suck badly instead of players that are surely average but not more.

in this case i think it is lower....

1 is at the top and all the other numbers are lower. someone who was picked high in the draft is a good prospect compared to someone who was pick low in the draft

I've deduced that they will finish exactly .500

Sizemore is really league-averagey at 3B, and Pennington is similar at SS. Weeks will likely be about league average at 2B next year and Suzuki is a “league average” C. Between Barton and Allen the A’s will probably get league average production out of 1B. An OF of Smith, Crisp, Reddick? Yup. The pitching staff is no longer that good but it’s also not that bad, and the bullpen figures to be “fine”.

I expect the A’s to exactly alternate winning and losing games the entire season.

(In truth I'm feeling about 72-90 ish right now)
I'm still saying 66-96, but the events of the past few days

will probably alter that

A new streak every day!
Cycle them out with

Jermaine Mitchell or Brandon Allen or Adrian Cardenas or Adam Rosales…

They had no problem last year

BA April splits:
Ellis .191
Kouz .208
Barton .209
DDJ .222

It’s close enough, and last year we wanted to contend and thought we had a chance.
They would still wait until June to move some guys in and out. And Carter couldn’t get a real chance even with Matsuis complete suckiness.

Carter was injured most of last season.

He played through it for a while but he wasn’t the same

not complete...

july and august were good. tho too little too late

Seth Smith... Cindy Brady's worst nightmare.

Theth Thmith?

GMs just never consider the "Cindy Brady" factor enough.
Theth Thmith batting thixth.
Thadly, Theth Thmith's thithter ith batting thevneth.
in the theventh thpot
How good is he with the thuithide thqueeth?
parker and milone

should and will be in the rotation,,they have both thrown over 100 innings in the minors and done well enough to get to the show last year…what else do they have to prove in AAA? Do you really wanna hold them back for service time? these are players who deserve to play in the bigs…sending them to AAA could have a negative impact on their pitching..especially emotionally…dont forget these are people…confidence in sports is huge.

I like this point...

I didn’t think of it that way… However I really think Parker could use AAA time to get his secondary stuff back to par post TJ and Peacock also need a bit more AAA time, Milone might be ready however. Also they could mow down minor leaguers and build confidence that way

I keep seeing many comments about...

…not rushing Carter. Not rushing Taylor. Now, not rushing Allen. At what point do we actually find out whether or not they are MLB players?

In taylors case the day he proves he's even a decent AAA player
That's been done already
Ok, proves he's too good for AAA then
Carter has crushed the minor leagues

but I think his competition for playing time with the A’s is Barton and Allen at 1B/DH. So I don’t think the new outfield depth affects Carter.

And Kila
Wish they'd sign Mila.
THAT would fill the seats!
It does in that Allen could've played LF
Yeah but he got a very long look in a starting position last year, with consistent ABs, and hit atrociously
I'm just saying if the plan is Allen/Barton for 1B/DH

Then these outfield moves blocked Allen’s potential move to LF, thus blocking Carter as well.

It's extremely unlikely that we end spring training with Carter, Allen, and Barton healthy and posting amazing spring training #s

If that’s the case, I’m sure we’ll figure something out. Otherwise, I think it’s fine to stash one of them in AAA.

I don't really care about Allen

So if it’s Barton at 1B and Carter at DH I’ll be alright.

Let's not forget (as much as I would like to) Kila is this mess.
I forgot and will pretend I didn't read this comment.
I got no time for other teams' discarded trash.

We have enough of our own to deal with right now

Based on the offseason moves

A’s dont view them as mlb players.

A’s resigned crisp and added 3 new OF’s through trade, so much for Taylor just 2 yrs ago being hyped as a future corner stone hitter

It's Parker/Peacock/Gray that they should not rush

Parker has never seen AAA and his results post-TJ were not great like before.
Peacock has only 48 innings of AAA with mediocre results and scouting reports that see reliever in him. Which pretty much means he definitely has something to work on down in Sacto.
Gray is freshly drafted with good results in little playing time in AA. Has also enough to work on, that I would like him to even beginn the season in Midland.

IMO gray shouldnt be an option anytime soon

Some saying he’ll be ready by late 2012 is way too soon. I remember the mlb ready, polish of james simmons , that worked out well

Simmons has nothing to do with Gray.

Lots of first round college starters were ready for the show with very little minor league time, like Mike Leake and Tim Lincecum, who were both drafted right around where Gray was whereas Simmons was drafted far below Gray.

Hmm...

… I give it a “meh”

Trading from the fringes of the team’s “strength” to add to the fringes of the team’s weakness…

On the other hand, if he’s as good of a PH as reported, maybe he can be flipped down the line to a contender for something more interesting?

parker

AA…..MY BAD…..

Smith

is this year’s attempt at David DeJesus.

Let’s just hope it’s the 2010 DeJesus that shows up.

AL West, here we come!

Bartolo Colon = CJ Wilson
Seth Smith = Albert Pujols

Nobody gets blocked by this

Crisp, JRed and Smith, will open the year out there but does anybody really think they will “block” Taylor, Cowgill or others? I think not. It just gives a slightly more presentable opening day OF. Smith was a somewhat warm commodity this hot stove season and it is a nice pickup.
More concerning to me and heavily mentioned in this string already is how and who will fill those 2 rotation spots with. Parker and Peacock my be rushing things a bit huh?

Good point, if these guys "block" Taylor and Cowgill then do we really want Taylor and Cowgill

If they can’t prove they can outperform Smith, do we really want them running out there?

There are still 2 OF spots on the MLB roster, so yes, nobody gets blocked.

Cowgill and Taylor I would guess are the front-runners. Mitchell would be in the mix if he was healthy. Allen could be in the mix, although I think he’ll be focused on trying to win the 1B job. Moss, Fiorentino, maybe Cardenas as well. The two best out of this pile of potential/dreck will crack the roster.

In addition, it’s not like Reddick has a stone cold lock on a starting spot.

Crisp and Smith aren't blocking Cowgill and Allen/Taylor from getting MLB spots,

but they do prevent them from getting playing time, which is more important.

We'll see, but if Taylor and Cowgill aren't good enough to win a roster spot it's a moot point.

Regardless I would rather the A’s go out and get a decent player like Smith than a CoJack or something to fill the roster.

The point is though that nobody in the starting OF is a world-beater (all 3 are probably near MLB average players). If any of the young guys perform they will see a lot of playing time.

Last season we needed a trade partner for Ellis to get Weeks who clearly could outperform him on the team
The point is that even though we had Ellis, a stalwart in Oakland if there ever was one,

Even Ellis did not block a good player from coming up and proving his worth. So you can be sure Reddick and Smith would not block a truly talented player from playing.

They will, however, block AAAA and average AAA players, which is fine.

but ellis DID block a talented player

who knows if weeks would have been called up IF ellis did not get hurt. lucky he did

All this tells me...

is that the A’s didn’t have much faith in Outman or Moscoso. If they though those guys weren’t going to contribute much and would be out of the rotation by June than getting something for them now makes sense.

I really hope they were right and we don’t regret this later. If it means anything, I think the odds are better of them being right.

I see plenty of comments here lamenting service clocks.

If a guy is ready, he’s ready. You promote him – you don’t throw his development curve into a blender to retain an extra year of control based on the owners’ portfolio. Jesus, this is one of the last sacred things that money in the game hasn’t defiled: when guys are ready, they start. Anyone purporting this to be a bad move because it starts a clock early has their head stuck in a cloud of cash.

Also, fangraphs thinks this move is laughably one sided. Sorry if this is a double link.

Except tey aren't ready

Milone is the only guy who even deserves consideration for the rotation out of ST.
Nothing Parker or Peacock do in the spring should warrant a spot, they are not ready.

Except Peacock got brought up by the Nationals last year

and the A’s think he’s very close, too. Since service clock shouldn’t be an issue, I don’t see Peacock getting a shot if he looks good in ST being one either.

He's got a total of 11 starts above AA

His K/BB rate in AAA was 2.0, and it was much worse in a SSS in the Majors. He’s simply not ready, and nothing he does in Spring Training will suggest that he is ready.
Parker also needs to continue to build arm strength coming off of TJS, and he should be doing so in AAA, instead of having to battle against lineups like Texas and the slegnA on a regular basis.
Am I missing something that suggest these guys are ready? Because I really don’t see it for either. Both these guys need to make 15 starts in AAA with success before they jump into the rotation.

Technically the fangraphs article

only said that it was a bad move for the Rockies — it did not actually claim it was a good trade for the A’s.

Could this be a classic lose-lose trade?

Wow, what an absolutely terrible move.

I’ve now lost complete faith in Billy Beane to run a rebuild, let alone a ball club.
This makes no sense. Smith does nothing for the A’s going forward, other than fill space and take ABs away from Cowgill, Taylor and whoever else would otherwise get a look. Now I’m not saying any of them are going to be good, but we’ll never know unless we put them out there, and now we’re preventing them from doing so by putting an OFer who is the definition of average out there.
And then, to trade away Outman and Moscoso, 2 guys who were going to keep guys like Parker and Peacock in the minors a little longer, which they both need, is irresponsible and tells me Beane is just impatient again.
I’m incredibly discouraged right now, someone talk me off the ledge…

Taylor (and im guessing Cowgill is the same) still needs to show Beane he can be an every day OF in the mlb
Neither will be able to do so spending another year in AAA
This
This is why the Coco signing puzzles me a bit

If you’re “finding out what you have,” wouldn’t finding out whether Reddick or Cowgill can cut it in CF be a good use of 2012?

You'll find out soon enough

You’ll know in spring training if Reddick or Cowgill can cut it in CF, and if so, it will give the A’s flexibility.

I think what all these signings and trades mean is that the team is not confident that any of the farmhand position players at the end of 2011 will be able to make the grade at the beginning of 2012.

I’ll say it again: these other guys have to earn their playing time.

Spring Training doesn't really mean that much...

Lest we forget our good friend Jake Fox…

danbot bait
GTFO
When robots get angry they spew random sequences of letters

;-(

it is the angry pressing of the keyboard
52c v7i6be
tempted to flag this, but giggs already warned you

so that is enough.

Gigs

Short for Gigabytes?

Earn their playing time how?

I don’t understand this argument. Basically, we’re asking for any guy who wants a starting spot on this team to hit a hot streak for 20 games and if they do they’ll be starting.
There is a problem with this organization if that’s the way they are making decisions every year on the Opening Day rosters, and judging by some of those made in recent years, that’s probably exactly what they’re doing.

They earn playing time by showing they don't belong in AAA

…and can hit major league pitching. Jake Fox notwithstanding, the back end of the roster makes the team based on spring training performance, but then they’ve got to perform in the majors. I have no idea why Fox and Patterson got so many chance, but they did - and so will this crowd at some point.

When they are 29 and out of options they will get a bench spot with a game a week or go on the waiver wire.
There are still 2 OF spots on the roster!
Cowgill, Taylor and whoever else would otherwise get a look

Cowgill, Taylor, and the rest of our AAA/AAAA dreck will get a look…for the remaining 2 OF spots.

No idea how to rate this until I see how they plan to use Smith

I mean, is he being handed a job opening day? Is he a strict platoon guy in an attempt to gain a competitive edge? Or is he a true fourth outfielder to be used if all the rookies collectively fail and we’re left with Smith as the contingency plan?

Too me, this reads "everyday player"
JohnSheaHey John Shea
#Athletics Beane likes Smith cuz prime of career, contractual control, badly needed power. Despite poor #s vs. LHs, will play regularly.
JohnSheaHey John Shea
Seth Smith will get chance with #Athletics to improve his fate vs. LHs. Beane: “He’s got too much power not to get that opportunity.”
To me

There was no faith in either Outman or Moscosco making the rotation. He really needed another spot on his 40 man roster and 1 or both were going regardless. He also did not want to be forced to carry or start a rookie OF. Smith is a solid OF who might be a 4th OF on a contender but not a bad starter on a .500 team. His salary is cheap for this year on a team that is probably being pressured to spend more then they recieve from profit sharing.

If one of the rookies hit this spring he will be carried and there will be a rotation between all of the Of’s, DH and 1st base assuring a lot of playing time for everyone. That and how often have the A’s made it throug springh training and the first month of the season w/o some injury or struggling to hit their weight. Smith is a solid player but not a super star and can easily be flipped later if we have roster problems.

good summary.
I dunno

I still don’t think there’s enough ABs to go around this year.

Carter, Allen, Kila, and Barton at 1B?

Taylor, Reddick, Cowgill, Smith for the two corner OF spots?

Actually, just adding Smith doesn’t add too much clutter. What I really don’t want to see are short leashes applied to these guys. If we’re going with say Taylor let’s give him a couple hundred ABs out there to show his stuff. Don’t want these guys going 0-one week at the plate and being shuttled to AAA.

My hope is that Smith starts the season as the 4th outfielder. I doubt that’s how it’ll play out but a solid pinch hitter would be fun and if injuries occur (boy a hope we fixed that problem some) then Smith’s ready to go.

OK

That helps my original dislike of this trade.
Thank you

I think the starting outfield is going to be determined by cage match.
batting cage match
No. That we can't win.
Most probably look much better in the cage then in game action
it depends

we might not be able to afford all that many tokens.

On the platoon thing...

The AL West is a little heavy on righties right now. CJ Wilson and Jason Vargas are the only lefty starters (not on the A’s) with a likely spot in opening day rotations. So it may be an ok time to acquire a guy like Smith.

Frankly Smith would have been the best hitter on our team last season.

So when you have a chance to trade completely replaceable pitchers for that, why not?

Willingham and Sizemore are sad that you've forgotten them.
Sorry, I should have specified, by OPS.

But yes, Willingham was a better hitter, Sizemore was probably better if you choose not to count his Tigers numbers. But Smith was very comparable to both, so adding another Willingham/Sizemore level of hitter, I’m not opposed to it.

I went by wRC+, by which Smith would have been the A's 3rd best hitter.

Even so, you’ve given up 2 cheap SP’s on a team that will probably need a lot of depth at that position (how many innings can you expect from Colon/McCarthy/Braden?) for a hitter that isn’t very good and can’t possibly fit into the long-term plans of a team that’s rebuilding. If you really want to get rid of Out Man and Moose Costco, at least get some young players with upside.

Yes

I am not mad that they got Seth Smith. But I also don’t think they got their money’s worth as Moscoso and Outman are two players that they need to get through the year, now they have to magically conjure 2 back of the rotation starters.

Since they are young players with no upside, unlikely that you would be able to get young players with upside in return, so I agree it does beg the question, why trade them at all?

Because there is some replacement-level pitcher they can acquire for nothing?
Yeah, you're probably right.

I guess we just traded completely replaceable pieces for our best hitting OF.

Outman and Moscoso aren't that young.

They’re 27 and 28 respectively. Even if they only yielded a couple of 20 year olds with live arms and poor control, or 1-dimensional position players, that would fit in better with the team’s long term plans than Smith does.

At least one guy is in favor of Smith

Hmm

Link?

There we go
ouch

seems that video was a little premature re: CarGon

Hah

Wondering when that clip was going to appear. Could be accurate though if Cowgill, Taylor, and Reddick all push for some ABs.

Fangraphs seems to love Seth Smith

Fangraphs on the Seth Smith opportunity

just read that too

they think Beane got a potential steal. Prove Smith can play everyday and trade him to a contender.

I think Billy just likes to trade the players that we've given nicknames to.

I was ‘eh’ on Moose and Outman, I’m ‘eh’ on Seth Smith so… yeah.

Hitters from Colorado make me nervous. :-/

Can we get a nickname for Zooks, then?
"Slugger"
Irony, thy name is Tutu-late.
Kinda like his swings:)

especially the ones that hit him in the chest.

bwahaha. i remember that AB.
This is like some one offering you their car for your bicycle

Would you really say: Nah, I already have a car. derp.

Anyone mention he was Eli Manning's backup QB?
yeah, it's in there somewhere.
Re: Fanfest

Can we get these players to wear name tags…

No need to worry.

As McCarthy said, they will need the name tags to introduce the players to each other.

I hope Smithi is more Erubiel Durazo

and less Matt Murton…

Well, we could use a good DH
Holy crap!

I just heard about Michael Pineda for Jesús Montero. That freakin’ blows my mind.

Was this not all over the news up there?
Presumably.

I avoid the news. And I didn’t go to work today.

I just now noticed it on the SBN sidebar.

Welcome back from the cave abandoned by the Taliban?

(Is there anywhere else that didn’t know about this?) :D

The front page of AN
It wasn't in any of the meta threads either.

Uh, not that I was spending all my time there are anything…. <looks at feet>

Moscoso and Outman

were surely not part of the 2015 plans, and Smith, very well could be part of the plan. To me that is the primary thinking of BB. Plus Smith adds some offensive creditability in the near future. I also think that BB will just carve together a starting rotation, until Anderson and Braden are healthy without pushing up the MLB timeclock on the newly acquired young pitchers.

Do I like the trade? On the surface yes, but as in all trades, it really remains to be seen. In this case can Moscoso and Outman learn to pitch at 5,000 feet, and/or can Smith adjust to the foul ball acreage and incoming winds in Oakland.

Who the hell knows the answers to these questions?

I think they're all not part of the plan

Smith will be turning 32 and coming to the end of a contract, and has never been that good. Probably not a big factor in our 2015 plans.

His Bio says born September 1982?

or 29 years old by my calculations, and just entering his prime, so to say….so he could very well be on board in 2015. Of course, if he get’s too hot the first half of 2012, BB would probably move him for 2 or 3 prospects.

Full Name: Garry Seth Smith
Born: September 30, 1982 in Jackson, MS
Height: 6’ 3’’
Weight: 210
Bats: Left
Throws: Left
College: Mississippi
MLB Debut: September 16, 2007

Choose Year2010200920082007200620052004

Biography

Garry Seth Smith…married to wife, Lindsay…the couple had a daughter, Sienna Elizabeth, last April (2009)…signed June 16, 2004 by Damon Iannelli…in 2003, Smith was a member of the USA National Team that won a silver medal at the Pan American Games…batted .322 with 4 homers and 9 RBI for Team USA…was a five-year letterwinner in baseball at Hillcrest Christian High School in Jackson, Miss…helped lead Hillcrest to Class 4A baseball state championships in 1997 and 1998…hit .434 as a freshman, .483 as a sophomore, .400 as a junior and .500 as a senior…named Mississippi Private School Association 4A MVP in football…was named all-conference in basketball (twice) and soccer (three times)…selected by Arizona in the 48th round of 2001 June draft, but went to Ole Miss.

In 2015 he will be 32 and past his prime. He isn't even a solid fielder in his prime.

So 32 yr old FA who can’t field and is below average with platoon issues.

He's an average fielder by UZR.
Not in 2015. He is average at his peak now, but look at the report here from the Rockies guy about this years defense.
With Crisp, Smith, and Colon on board

it’s probably time for the A’s to think about blowing this thing up and starting over.

Isn't that what we were supposed to be doing?

Heh!

Ludwick is OFF the table.

Reds To Sign Ryan Ludwick

The Reds have agreed to sign free agent outfielder Ryan Ludwick to a one-year deal that includes a mutual option for 2013, Ken Rosenthal of FOX Sports tweets. Ludwick gets a $2.5MM guarantee and could earn another $500K in incentives.

Thank goodness
+1

Waiting for Damon to sign…. Elsewhere.

Well, now we can get onto the important business

Of signing Conor Jackson to a long-term contract. To play 1B.

Can't he play "AAAA OFer"?

We don’t have enough.

dont forget his stellar 3B play.
I'm honored to have seen one of his two 3B starts last year

Actually, he wasn’t bad there. But that was pre-Sizemore.

Clause: Must have beard
And keep the AN Hotties happy.

When they are happy, we ALL are happy!

Great Move! Terrible Move!

..and everything in between, is what I have been reading. All I know is that I just voted an extra “tick” on scale for the A’s Condifence Vote on AN; up from 12.% to 25.0%. So it is double what it was before Coco, Colon and Smith, but still a 75% lack of confience in the team.

I believe the exact phrasing is "how are you feeling" about the A's

That’s more vague than an MVP vote. Coco’s back? I feel great about the entertainment value. Think they’ll win the West because of Colon? Well, I feel like we’re not.

Interesting source of trade approval data. Just not sure what to trust. Maybe my trust issues are just cropping up because Billy Beane apparently watched Moneyball: The Movie over the holidays and said “I want to be like that guy!”.

Can you just imagine him in his office. Hey, I want Seth Smith. Who can we get for Smith? Well, the Rockies have about eight guys lined up for starting pitching jobs, but they don’t like any of ‘em. Hey, but there are some great buy low veterans pitchers on the market. We can ALWAYS just add another one of those. Hey, Colon, you’re on the A’s! Yo, Rockies, happen to have some MLB ready arms if you want to REALLY stir the pot in Spring Training. Only costs you Smith, and hey you don’t even like Smith so how’s about it?

Yeah, so, good movie, right? Especially when Colon won Comeback Player of the Year, Smith finished 3rd in MVP voting and the A’s once again lost in the first round of the playoffs?

If we do need another AAAA starting pitcher in May,

we’ll probably be able to claim one off waivers from the Rockies.

that's for sure

since they seem to be collecting them right now.

I've read that at least two of the ten candidates will likely go to the pen

So that only leaves three of Rockies pitchers completely out of the mix. De La Rosa is still recovering from surgery so at least until he’s back they will likely only be sending two of the AAAA squad back to the minors.

Crazy that no-one’s locked into starting spots, but not overly excessive hording. Going to be a wild spring for the Rockies. I do hope Outman makes the rotation. Even though he’s not with us anymore, I’m still curious to see if can turn into an effective mid-rotation MLB pitcher. Plus, purple stirrups, yikes!

at first i thought this was a joke

then I realized that Beane is trading away good players to teams in exchange for their for votes on a san jose move

Adapt Or Die

The new market inefficiency is new stadiums. Look at Miami this year. Here’s the thing though. Those other teams spent years doing business off the field. Public votes, financing, ect. That market’s tapped. What we’ll offer instead is on-field talent. That’s right, we’ll turn the players themselves into a new stadium, then use that to get even better players. Genius.

If I am Colorado...

And i just got two fly ball pitchers at Coors Field… San Jose lost my vote…

If you're Colorado, you should've done your homework.

Also, if you’re Colorado, you should be in favor of anything the Giants oppose.

yes

the enemy of my enemy is my friend

ah, come on!!! I thought we were rebuilding!

Next thing you know we trade for another OF from CO who will hit .239/.299/.407 for us.

maybe we can flip him mid-season to the Cardinals for a pudgy third baseman.

well let's take a look, shall we?

There won’t be any Brett Wallaces, but there’s Matt Carpenter at 6’3’’, 200 or 2.67 on the Pudge Index. Zack Cox clocks in at 2.98 and Niko Vasquez is just 2.46.

None can ever match Wallace’s heaving 3.37, but you can only get so much pudge for Seth Smith.

what did I just do
We were all confused but I think I finally got it

Art Howe from the moneyball movie comes back to manage the A’s. He won’t play Milone because his fastball is too slow. Beane makes the trade force Art Howe to stop being a d!ck.

Just Saw This

My first reaction was disbelief (what’s with all the moves?) and i didn’t feel that this actually helps the team, but looking at it, I feel that this a good – maybe even great – trade for Oakland. This changes the makeup of the rotation, meaning that some of the guys who we recently acquired will start the season in the Majors, and Smith could hit 20 homers and drive in 80 runs.
One thing this does show is that Beane is being careful with guys like Cowgill and Taylor, which is why he signed Reddick and now Seth Smith.
I like it.

Smith couldn't hit 20 HR's playing in Colorado.

I really doubt he can do it in Oakland.

this is going to lead to so much debate about pinch-hitting in later innings lefty-lefty matchups...
I'd be thrilled beyond belief

if lefty-lefty late inning pinch hitting matchups wound up being important to our season!

Sometimes...

I think Billy just makes trades for the sake of making trades. Frankly, I don’t see any of the recent trades he’s made actually helping the team at all. Maybe he is just waiting for a stadium to be built & is just doing “busy work” in the meantime. All movement but not going anywhere. Just sideways stuff. What is sure is that the A’s will be a crap team for the next 3-4 years minimum. They will be an incredibly boring & non-competative team for the the next 3 years. Just wait till this season starts. It will be more interesting watching grass grow than the A’s. Gonna be lots of 7-1 and 6-0 games too. There are only 2 reasons for me to watch the A’s now-Braden & Jermaine period. I’ll wait until they are actually a .500 team before buying tickets anymore. Tired of watching crap on the field all of the time.

do you mean jemile (weeks)?

jermaine probably won’t be with the club at the beginning of the season

do you mean jemile (weeks)?

jermaine probably won’t be with the club at the beginning of the season?

oops. meant as a reply

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