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Looking for a left-handed reliever? Why not Mark Mulder?

Well, it seems like the A's - in their latest, round-about effort to bolster their starting rotation by improving every other part of the club besides the starting rotation - are now eyeing a few left-handed relievers. This makes some sense, as the bullpen corps as currently constructed is a bit righty-heavy and features at least three guys who are much better served facing right-handed batters than lefties (Springer, Ziggy and Wuertz). Only Jerry Blevins, the lone lefty among the current crop, is really tough on lefties and he's likely to be used as more of a traditional set-up guy and not in a matchup/LOOGY type role. Josh Outman could eventually become a situational bullpen piece but he's young enough to either earn a spot in the major league rotation or go back to AAA and remain stretched-out as a starter.

So far, the names that the A's have been publicly linked with to fill this role are Brian Shouse (just signed with Tampa), Andrew Sisco (who NSJ covered in his piece on Friday and is intriguing in his own ways) and Ron Villone - ugh. I guess the A's could turn their attention to Joe Beimel or Will Ohman if they wanted a brand name, but those guys might want more money or more years than the team is willing to offer. My solution: Mark Mulder.

It's true that Mulder has never really been a reliever in his career and is presumably auditioning sometime soon as a free agent starter. At the same time, if you're Mulder right now, after two completely lost years, you're probably hoping to get on a major league mound and start facing major league hitters in major league games as quickly as possible in order to re-establish yourself as a major league quality pitcher...not a starter or reliever, but just a pitcher period. That's why I think it might be an intriguing proposition for him to make his latest comeback as a reliever...for the Oakland Athletics.*

*provided he looks "serviceable" in his workouts.

Consider the following:

Star-divide

- Even in his last semi-full season in 2006, when he struggled mightily overall, Mark was fairly effective against left-handed hitters. He held lefties to a .660 OPS against with a 19-5 K-BB ratio in 83 at-bats...compared to a 1.020 OPS against righties with a disastrous 31-30 K-BB ratio in 296 at-bats. It's a small sample size but it shows, even while struggling, Mark can still be tough against lefties and has a much better handle on his "stuff" when facing them.

- Mark has been working out in Arizona for several months now, working to increase his strength and range of motion in his pitching shoulder.  This article from a few months ago shows that he has a pretty good idea what has been bothering him recently, from a mechanical standpoint, and may have figured out ways to mitigate it. Nick Cafardo, while hardly an authoritative source, hinted today in his latest column that Mark might have re-established full range of motion in his left shoulder.

- The A's aren't looking for a guy that can log 200+ innings and win 20 games. They are looking for someone that can take the ball once every few days and get a lefty out.

- At seasonal age 31, Mark is seasoned enough to leverage his considerable experience into a bullpen role, while he's young to still have some "upside" left to play out.

- Mulder should have every incentive to rehabilitate/reinvent/resurrect himself, 1) with a familiar organization for whom he had the best previous years of his career, 2) inside a home park that greatly favors pitchers, 3) in front of a solid overall defense and 4) in a low-pressure role that works into his current strength as a pitcher.

- The A's, with some financial wiggle room, can offer Mulder a highly incentivized deal that would limit the risk to the team.

So how would this play out? Well, as the asterisk on the first page shows, Mulder would have to throw in front of scouts and show that he's at least serviceable at this point to even begin the conversation. Mulder is working out in Arizona, near where the A's hold Spring Training, so he then could be invited to Spring Training as a non-roster invitee.

As far as his contract, I think the team should start with a split minors/majors contract. Possibly offer a 500K minor league deal with a $1 million base major league deal (if he makes the team out of Spring Training). The incentives I could see working if they were based on total appearances. Innings-based incentives wouldn't work well for a reliever, but total appearances would. Say, Mulder can earn an extra 250K for every 20 appearances he makes. That should give him enough of a monetary incentive to go to the bullpen, where he could rack up appearance numbers if he can consistently show the ability to get lefties out. Beyond that, the team could throw in higher incentives for total innings pitched (maybe 500K for every 50 innings of work) and could even dangle an added bonus for possible starts (maybe an extra 500K if he makes 10 or more starts for the team). The incentives would be capped at somewhere between $3-$4 million to keep the contract orderly.

In a perfect world, Mulder spends all of Spring Training building up strength and preparing as a reliever, concentrating on fastball/slider. He gets some good work in and looks like he could handle a specialist role out of the bullpen to open the season. He spends all of April and May in the Oakland bullpen, getting lefties out and building up stamina and confidence. Come June, he starts being stretched out a bit for some long/middle relief outings, incorporating a third pitch. Then, in the middle of the season, he just might have enough confidence/gusto/stamina to step in and make some spot starts when the inevitable injury occurs to the starting rotation.

I think this scenario, or any variation of it, could be beneficial to both parties. For Mark, coming back as a specialist reliever offers him the chance to get back to a big league mound fast, but in a relatively controlled environment where not much is expected of him (compared to what he went through in St Louis). For the A's, they a) get a familiar, well-liked face back into the organization, b) a pitcher that has shown the ability to get lefties out and c) a pitcher with a little upside that could (possibly, with a little luck) provide a little more utility to the pitching staff when compared to your traditional LOOGY.

Of course, the whole plan could blow up in the A's face at any point, but I think that an incentive-based contract would keep the overall risk to a minimum. And since the 2nd lefty/LOOGY role is more of a luxury than a necessity for the bullpen (and Josh Outman could step into that role at any point if they really needed it), it's not like the prospect of success/lack thereof of Mulder would make or break the season. But in the whole scheme of things, it would make for a nice reunion and in the short term may just help the A's pitching staff record a few more outs...

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Comments

Wow, great point

Especially since if all went dreamily, Mulder could always stretch it out and join the rotation. Did you overlook Dennys Reyes in your analysis? I thought he was the best option being considered – or did he sign somewhere while I was looking away?

Anyway, I think it would make great sense from Mulder’s POV to move to the bullpen as either a stepping-stone or new role, and it would fit the A’s needs perfectly.

Excellent writeup.

I think Reyes is a Type B free agent that was offered Arb but declined it.

Not sure if that would cost the A’s a draft pick, but that was one reason I was thinking it wasn’t a great idea to sign him, but I could be wrong.

I think he's by far the best left-handed reliever

I really hope the A’s stay away from Sisco and Villone.

I agree

Reyes would be a nice addition.

Also, I dont think he costs the A’s a pick. Type B’s only give the team they left a comp pick without the signing team having to give up anything.

Ah yes, that is true.

Reyes seems pretty solid on a modest/bargain 1-year deal. But it seems like, since he declined arb, he’s looking for a multi-year deal or several million dollars guaranteed. Is he worth either?

Considering he's been about as reliable as they come the past 3 years

I think he could be worth $3 M guarenteed, maybe with another million in incentives. I think he’s much more of a sure thing that Mulder, although he isnt a bad plan B.

I'd think given his age and dominance against lefties,

he’d be worth 3mil if Springer is, would be worth a 2-3-year deal if Embree was, and would worth a 2-3 year deal over Springer.

Lots of players turned down arbitration because they were expecting multi-year deals

If Adam Dunn is looking at a 1 year deal why shouldn’t Reyes be in the same boat?

Because if he's in the same boat with anything,

the boat will capsize?

Capsize?

About a 7 3/4, thanks.

Hey, that's the same as my --

Never mind.

Mines 4 3/7 so we have something in common

in a transposed kind of way

I wouldn't mind having one that was 4 3/7,

but transposed? Ouch.

At least you avoided any Titanic referrences
Points taken.

Maybe the A’s are in a holding pattern vis-a-vis their lefty reliever plans until they can see exactly how low of a dollar figure O-Cab will sink to…

Why don't they do what they did with Furcal?

Make a solid “act now” offer – in this case only $5mil/year – and let Cabrera know that if he wants to try to wait it out with someone else, the A’s will move on.

Yeah...

or say, “Right now it’s 5 million, but if you wait another week it’s going to be 4 million, 3 million, etcetera…”

The answer may be that by doing nothing

the A’s are watching Cabrera’s price go down, so perhaps they don’t WANT to make that “take it or leave it now” offer today when they might better be able to do it in a week or two.

i think they should have a deal or no deal type bargain with him

give him a whole bunch of boxes to chose from, with David Forst on the phone as the mysterious ‘banker’ type.

actually, in my head, this is how arbitration works. they could even do it at the it’s-not-a-fanfest-it’s-a-player-avail-day, or whatever it’s being called this year.

I think they should give Cabrera chances

to play for more and more money, but he only gets it if he understands clues well from Betty White.

i had to look up who that is

cultural reference!

You had to google Betty White?

Yay I am officially old.

{dreads looming day when "Soleil Moon Frye" becomes shorthand for "old"}
to be fair

i didn’t grow up in this country, so it might well not be a case of you being old, just us having different cultural touchstones.

i am nearly thirty, afterall

LH slugger vs LH reliever

market is probably better for the latter

Type B players don't cost the signing team a draft pick. The team that loses the player gets a sandwich pick.
An interesting idea

I’m in favor of offering Mulder a minor league deal and the great thing about an incentive based contract is if he’s getting the money he’s most likely earning the money. I think you’ll have to work the incentive clauses to insure the appearance money (from relief pitching) are equal to the IP money (from starting). Its not that big a deal on Oakland’s end but its something Mulder’s agent will want to protect his client.

They could even load it with both incentives

Have money tied up in appearances and innings. Set it up where he’s not going to be earning both, but if he’s pitching and pitching well he’ll be earning the money somehow. This covers the possibility that he ends up starting (and won’t meet all the appearance requirements) and relieving (plenty of appearances, but not as many innings).

Maybe just "days on the active major league roster"?
BTW, an interesting excerpt from M. Urban's latest piece on the bullpen:

(Gio) Gonzalez, who was named the top lefty starter in the Pacific Coast League (Triple-A) last year despite spending the final two months of the season in Oakland, went 1-4 with a 9.32 ERA in seven starts for the A’s before being moved to the bullpen, where he made three appearances without allowing a run and held opponents to a .105 batting average over six innings.

“He looked more like the pitcher we know he can be when he was in the bullpen,” Geren said of Gonzalez. “As talented as he is, you want to put him in a position to succeed.”

We haven’t really considered Gio serving as a reliever in the big leagues to start 2009 – mostly we’ve assumed Outman might be the “long man” if he doesn’t make the rotation and that Gio will start at AAA if he doesn’t make the rotation – but Geren sounds intrigued by putting Gio in a position to succeed in the big leagues by facing more lefties, etc. Interesting.

I saw that too.

I think it was definitely obvious last season that Gio was more comfortable coming out of the big league bullpen than starting, but I think a lot of that has to do with his oft-mentioned “excitability” issues. While I think Gio could have immediate success as a bullpen piece, I don’t think the A’s brass wants to move him there permanently at such a young age. I mean, this is a kid who led the entire minor leagues in strikeouts just over a year ago and has never had a major arm or injury issue. Rubber-armed, 23-year old kids that could potentially strike-out one major league batter per inning shouldn’t be put in the bullpen to start their careers, at least in my opinion. It’s nice that Geren is backing up his players and saying, “I’ll do whatever’s in their best interest” but in this case, I hope they keep Gio a starter for the foreseeable future.

I'm sure they see him as a starter - I just wonder if

he might start the season in the pen, be useful there and build his confidence, and then move into the rotation first time there’s a need. Seems as plausible as returning him to AAA where he can start but can’t get major league experience.

Pitchers used to break into the starting rotation that way all the time, so I agree there's no reason it couldn't work in this case

I think the only think about doing that with Gio is that they couldn’t make him a LOOGY. They’d have to let him be a middle-reliever who happens to be a lefty, otherwise he won’t pitch many innings and won’t learn how to deal with righties.

Kind of like Joe Kennedy's role, I'm thinking
and espn will be full of speculation about when he's going to move to the rotation

they love this stuff, right?

or was that just because Joba Chamberline was on the Yanks?

nah, that’s just cynical thinking and i won’t allow it in my house

Breaking in from the bullpen sure as hell worked for Haren

I think its a good strategy.

Here's an idea: sign Mulder as a reliever and have Ziggy teach him his motion! We'd have baseball's only 6'6" submarining LOOGY!

Seriously, even with his normal motion, this is a good idea. I’ve never been real wild about the idea of signing Mulder, but I like this suggestion..

Why have Mulder throw left-handed?

Ziggy should teach what he knows!

Use a mirror as part of the teaching curriculum
yeah, besides

his right arm is probably uninjured, right?

your 2009 Oakland Athletics shortstop – Mark Mulder!

Ooh, I like the offensive upgrade!
I wouldn't assume that his right arm is uninjured.
still using Ziegler's throwing motion of course
I have been behind this idea since it was first mentioned here on AN.

Johnny Ballplayer must come home and reunite with his boys!

I just don't like the whole "guaranteed 500K" thing.

I mean, the guy hasn’t been right for over two years. There’s literally nothing that justifies paying him a cent.

Point taken

Hmmmm, if he’s at ground zero, maybe he should learn to pitch right handed. What a story!

Essentially...

the 500K minor league portion of the contract is the cost of bringing him into the fold, an incentive to get Mulder to sign in the first place. If he looks “Serviceable” enough in his workouts to even consider signing him, then you’re gonna pay that 500K just to see if he’s got anything in the tank. Worse case scenario is he looks good in his workouts and Spring Training, but suffers a setback in the early going and spends the year rehabbing at AAA Sacramento and might contribute later on down the road.

Also, 500K is just an arbitrary figure. It could be a 250K or 100K figure for we all we know, but I’m pretty sure that if he looks decent in his workouts and more than one team shows interest in him, he is going to want some sort of fail-safe compensation policy, and that’s what the minor league deal would be…

Kind of a "finder's fee" or "signing bonus" concept

Pay him something to choose you, more if he actually pitches, and more yet if he actually pitches well.

Exactly.

I’m just thinking that, even with his crazy injury history, someone will always pay guaranteed money for pitching (hell, the penny-pinching Padres re-signed Mark Prior to a minor league deal this off-season) so expecting him to put forth the effort to throw in front of scouts, garner some interest and then pitch for a team without any sort of financial guarantee at the end of Spring Training is kind of unrealistic…

If he's still unsigned at the end of March, it's a different story -

then just do a minor league deal, no guarantees.

I'd rather just use Outman.

That, or get one of Ohman, Beimel, or Reyes.

Awesome diary, Taj

Very good idea.

A far more appealing option than a taco-smuggling, walk-prone, left-handed giant.

Jack Taschner?
taco smuggling = my new favourite euphamism
change that "m" to an "n"
my new favourite euphanism?

don’t get it

let me guess: you're going to use the foreign-born excuse, aren't you?
well, erm. what?

colour me confused. also, was born in Fairfax, CA.

though didn’t grow up here.

look for another "m" in your initial subject line
Do you ever need to smuggle tacos?

What kind of awful place wouldn’t allow tacos?

Andy Sisco was kicked out of the Mexican League for bringing a taco to the game

Yes, you read that right— the Mexican League.

that's not quite right

In fact, it’s downright misleading.

He was kicked off the team for eating tacos in the public stadium concourse while the game was underway.

Kicking him off was an overreaction, sure, but he was a bit of a dolt.

I never let misleading facts get in the way of a cheap joke

the AN front page is really obsessed with adding a left handed reliever, far more so than the a’s front office, i would guess.

I think it would be a very good idea,

because:

1. The A’s don’t just have mostly righty relievers, they have three who are especially ill-suited to facing left-handed hitters (Ziggy, Wuertz, and based on his L/R splits, Springer).

2. The A’s are going to rely heavily on having a good and deep bullpen. They are likely to get a lot of starts that look like 5.2 IP, 2 ER, or 6.1 IP, 3 ER, and with this year’s offense the A’s can win those games if they can shut down other teams even when they have to go to their 4th or 5th best reliever in the 6th/7th inning.

Also, there is evidence the front office is pretty interested in adding a lefty reliever, considering that the A’s have been linked, at various times, to Reyes, Sisco, and Villone.

Next up on "Left Handed Relievers Week" on the AN Front Page:

Monkeyball: “If the A’s sign Villone, I’m outta here”

ThursdyStat: “If you think Dennys Reyes sucks, I hate you and find you stupid”

so what can we offer that other teams can't?

assuming Mulder looks “serviceable” after a scouting review, there’s likely to be several other teams looking for a chance to ‘buy low’ with Mark. Several are sure to offer a minor league deal, so what would the A’s have that any other random team wouldn’t?

I think it’s a matter of “when” Mark’s offered a contract that will determine where he ultimately ends up, not “who” offers the contract. So the best way for the A’s to get Mulder over here would be to offer him this type of contract before he becomes known to the rest of the league as “serviceable”.

For the same reason Frank re-signed with the A's in '08

Mulder knows Oakland, knows Giambi, Ellis and Chavvy and had success here. He won’t need to introduce himself to the area and ballpark. And since all the offers to Mulder are likely to be similar, Mulder’s tiebreaker is where he’s most likely to be comfortable. And that’s Oakland.

Gio was lights out in relief last year

praying nico doesn’t point out only 6 ip in relief

I love it

If we can’t get Reyes I would love to root for Mulder. I just hope I’m not getting into too much nostalgia. He is used to Oakland, he could fit a team need and he needs a fresh start. Plus the seems to be a descent guy off the field and a good teammate. That is something that scares me about Cabrera.

I remember when I used to be really into nostalgia
Those were the days...
By the way...

…I’m going on record as LOVING this idea!

Because Mark Mulder will never overcome his injuries.
Great post, as usual, Taj

I’m all for this, btw.

sounds like good idea to me

it wouldn’t hurt the team to have another experienced pitcher in camp.

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